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Europa League
Referee: B Bastien
Fenerbahce
U S S S T
2–1
Full-time
St. Gilloise
T T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fenerbahce St. Gilloise
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,3
2,2
Scored
2,3
0,8
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,57 xG 2,27
60% Possession 40%
10 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 7
1 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 6
1 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 20
4 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 1

Recent head-to-head meetings

14. Mar -24 Fenerbahce – St. Gilloise 0–1 7. Mar -24 St. Gilloise – Fenerbahce 0–3

Match report

Fenerbahce St. Gilloise
1–0 Ç. Söyüncü ⚽
Rodrigo Becão
26′
Rodrigo Becão 🟨
33′
Half-time 1–0
Mert Müldür 🟨
55′
61′
🔁 A. Khalaili
↦ K. Rodríguez
D. Tadić 🔁
↦ İ. Kahveci
65′
B. Osayi-Samuel 🔁
↦ M. Müldür
65′
70′
🔁 S. Boufal
↦ M. Rasmussen
73′
🟥 Kevin Mac Allister
M. Yandaş 🔁
↦ C. Ünder
77′
E. Džeko 🔁
↦ Y. En-Nesyri
77′
80′
🟨 Sofiane Boufal
1–1 C. Burgess ⚽
own goal
82′
C. Tosun 🔁
↦ Fred
86′
86′
🔁 R. Sykes
↦ C. Burgess
86′
🔁 K. Van de Perre
↦ N. Sadiki
Bright Osayi-Samuel 🟨
87′
Bright Osayi-Samuel 🟨
90′
Bright Osayi-Samuel 🟥
90′
92′
❌ Franjo Ivanović
penalty missed
93′
⚽ R. Sykes 1–2
96′
🟨 Charles Vanhoutte
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Fenerbahce

4-3-3
40 D. Livaković G
16 M. Müldür D
50 Rodrigo Becão D
4 Ç. Söyüncü D
24 J. Oosterwolde D
13 Fred M
34 S. Amrabat M
53 S. Szymański M
17 İ. Kahveci F
19 Y. En-Nesyri F
20 C. Ünder F
Bench (12)
10 D. Tadić
21 B. Osayi-Samuel
8 M. Yandaş
9 E. Džeko
23 C. Tosun
95 Y. Akçiçek
3 S. Akaydin
54 E. Çetin
6 A. Djiku
5 İ. Yüksek
97 A. Saint-Maximin
84 Ö. Camcı

Coach: José Mourinho

St. Gilloise

3-5-2
49 A. Moris G
5 K. Mac Allister D
16 C. Burgess D
28 K. Machida D
21 A. Castro-Montes M
4 M. Rasmussen M
24 C. Vanhoutte M
27 N. Sadiki M
22 O. Niang M
9 F. Ivanović F
13 K. Rodríguez F
Bench (9)
25 A. Khalaili
23 S. Boufal
26 R. Sykes
6 K. Van de Perre
48 F. Leysen
10 A. Ait El Hadj
14 J. Imbrechts
33 S. Berradi
1 V. Chambaere

Coach: S. Pocognoli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

B Bastien · 180 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.