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Eliteserien

Referee: Tommy Skjerven

Molde

U S S U S

4–0

Full-time

Valerenga

T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Molde Valerenga

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,3

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

3,2

2,7

Scored

2,2

1,2

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-0,3

This season — Eliteserien · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 40%

60%

20%

Points per game

2,2

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

60%

40%

Both score Ø 60%

100%

20%

Average goals

3,2

2,4

Scored

2,0

1,0

Conceded

1,2

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

49% Possession 51%

17 Shots 19

8 Shots on target 8

2 Blocked shots 8

8 Goalkeeper saves 5

7 Corners 11

1 Offside 0

0 Free kicks against 0

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Molde 3. · Valerenga 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Odd	6	4	2	0	+7	14
2	Rosenborg	5	4	0	1	+6	12
3	Molde	5	3	2	0	+4	11
4	Brann	6	3	2	1	+0	11
5	Haugesund	6	3	1	2	+2	10
6	Stromsgodset	6	3	1	2	+1	10
7	Viking	6	3	1	2	+1	10
8	Bodo/Glimt	6	2	1	3	+1	7
9	Sogndal	6	2	1	3	-2	7
10	Lillestrom	5	1	3	1	+2	6
11	Tromso	5	1	3	1	-2	6
12	Stabaek	6	1	1	4	-4	4
13	Valerenga	5	1	0	4	-2	3
14	Start	5	0	3	2	-4	3
15	Aalesund	5	1	0	4	-5	3
16	Sarpsborg 08	5	0	3	2	-5	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	Odd	3	2	1	0	+4	7
3	Stromsgodset	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Bodo/Glimt	4	2	0	2	+2	6
5	Sogndal	3	2	0	1	+1	6
6	Lillestrom	2	1	1	0	+4	4
7	Haugesund	2	1	1	0	+3	4
8	Molde	2	1	1	0	+2	4
9	Tromso	2	1	1	0	+2	4
10	Brann	2	1	1	0	+1	4
11	Valerenga	3	1	0	2	+0	3
12	Aalesund	3	1	0	2	-1	3
13	Stabaek	3	1	0	2	-1	3
14	Start	3	0	2	1	-1	2
15	Sarpsborg 08	3	0	2	1	-1	2
16	Viking	3	0	1	2	-3	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Viking	3	3	0	0	+4	9
2	Odd	3	2	1	0	+3	7
3	Molde	3	2	1	0	+2	7
4	Brann	4	2	1	1	-1	7
5	Haugesund	4	2	0	2	-1	6
6	Rosenborg	2	1	0	1	+1	3
7	Stromsgodset	3	1	0	2	-2	3
8	Lillestrom	3	0	2	1	-2	2
9	Tromso	3	0	2	1	-4	2
10	Bodo/Glimt	2	0	1	1	-1	1
11	Stabaek	3	0	1	2	-3	1
12	Sogndal	3	0	1	2	-3	1
13	Start	2	0	1	1	-3	1
14	Sarpsborg 08	2	0	1	1	-4	1
15	Valerenga	2	0	0	2	-2	0
16	Aalesund	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.