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Primeira Liga

Referee: Helder Filipe Claudio Carvalho

Santa Clara

U S U S T

2–2

Full-time

Nacional

S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Santa Clara Nacional

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

2,0

Scored

1,0

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

1,74 xG 1,23

52% Possession 48%

19 Shots 10

7 Shots on target 4

7 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 4

0 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Porto	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.0	3
2	Gil Vicente	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.5	3
3	Maritimo	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.7	3
4	Arouca	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.8	3
5	Benfica	1	0	1	0	+0	+2.4	1
6	Academico Viseu	1	0	1	0	+0	-2.4	1
7	Moreirense	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.1	1
8	Sp Braga	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.1	1
9	Estrela	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.5	1
10	Sp Lisbon	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.5	1
11	Estoril	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.4	1
12	Famalicao	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.4	1
13	Rio Ave	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.5	0
14	Casa Pia	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.7	0
15	Guimaraes	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.8	0
16	Alverca	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Porto	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.0	3
2	Gil Vicente	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.5	3
3	Maritimo	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.7	3
4	Benfica	1	0	1	0	+0	+2.4	1
5	Moreirense	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.1	1
6	Estrela	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.5	1
7	Estoril	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.4	1
8	Guimaraes	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Arouca	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.8	3
2	Academico Viseu	1	0	1	0	+0	-2.4	1
3	Sp Braga	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.1	1
4	Sp Lisbon	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.5	1
5	Famalicao	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.4	1
6	Rio Ave	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.5	0
7	Casa Pia	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.7	0
8	Alverca	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.0	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.