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Premier League
Referee: Andre Marriner
Bournemouth
U S T U S
1–3
Full-time
Man City
S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bournemouth Man City
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,3
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,5
3,0
Scored
1,7
2,5
Conceded
1,8
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+2,0
This season — Premier League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
2,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
2,5
4,5
Scored
1,5
3,5
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+2,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

26% Possession 74%
10 Shots 19
7 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 9
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
4 Corners 5
2 Offside 4
7 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bournemouth 8. · Man City 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Liverpool 3 3 0 0 +6 9
2 Arsenal 3 2 0 1 +0 6
3 Leicester 3 1 2 0 +1 5
4 Man City 2 1 1 0 +5 4
5 Man United 3 1 1 1 +3 4
6 Tottenham 2 1 1 0 +2 4
7 Brighton 3 1 1 1 +1 4
8 Bournemouth 2 1 1 0 +1 4
9 Sheffield United 3 1 1 1 +0 4
10 Crystal Palace 3 1 1 1 +0 4
11 Everton 3 1 1 1 -1 4
12 Chelsea 3 1 1 1 -3 4
13 West Ham 3 1 1 1 -3 4
14 Burnley 2 1 0 1 +2 3
15 Aston Villa 3 1 0 2 -1 3
16 Norwich 3 1 0 2 -2 3
17 Southampton 3 1 0 2 -2 3
18 Wolves 2 0 2 0 +0 2
19 Newcastle 2 0 0 2 -3 0
20 Watford 3 0 0 3 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
14,52
U
7,28
B ✓
1,19
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,37
U2,5
3,08
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Andre Marriner · 138 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
15,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.