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Premier League
Referee: Roger East
5–3
Full-time
Bournemouth
T S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Crystal Palace Bournemouth
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,8
3,2
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,2
This season — Premier League · 37/37 matches
Win Ø 35%
35%
35%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
43%
62%
Both score Ø 46%
49%
43%
Average goals
2,6
3,2
Scored
1,2
1,4
Conceded
1,4
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

45% Possession 55%
17 Shots 16
8 Shots on target 8
2 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 4
4 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 8
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Crystal Palace 12. · Bournemouth 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Man City 37 31 2 4 +69 95
2 Liverpool 37 29 7 1 +65 94
3 Chelsea 37 21 8 8 +24 71
4 Tottenham 37 23 1 13 +28 70
5 Arsenal 37 20 7 10 +20 67
6 Man United 37 19 9 9 +13 66
7 Wolves 37 16 9 12 +3 57
8 Everton 37 15 8 14 +8 53
9 Leicester 37 15 6 16 +3 51
10 Watford 37 14 8 15 -4 50
11 West Ham 37 14 7 16 -6 49
12 Crystal Palace 37 13 7 17 -4 46
13 Bournemouth 37 13 6 18 -12 45
14 Newcastle 37 11 9 17 -10 42
15 Burnley 37 11 7 19 -21 40
16 Southampton 37 9 11 17 -20 38
17 Brighton 37 9 9 19 -22 36
18 Cardiff 37 9 4 24 -37 31
19 Fulham 37 7 5 25 -43 26
20 Huddersfield 37 3 6 28 -54 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Crystal Palace Bournemouth
1–0 M. Batshuayi
24′
2–0 M. Batshuayi
A. Wan-Bissaka
32′
2–1 J. Simpson
own goal
37′
45′
J. Lerma 2–2
N. Clyne
Half-time 2–3
56′
J. Ibe 2–3
A. Smith
Luka Milivojević 🟨
63′
3–3 P. van Aanholt
W. Zaha
65′
James McArthur 🟨
69′
70′
🔁 C. Mepham
↦ J. Simpson
70′
🔁 L. Mousset
↦ J. Ibe
73′
J. King 3–4
C. Mepham
Wilfried Zaha 🟨
79′
4–4 A. Townsend
W. Zaha
80′
B. Sako 🔁
↦ W. Zaha
87′
C. Wickham 🔁
↦ M. Batshuayi
89′
89′
🔁 S. Surridge
↦ N. Clyne
L. Dreher 🔁
↦ A. Townsend
93′
Full-time 4–4

Line-ups

Crystal Palace

4-4-2
31 Guaita G
34 M. Kelly D
2 J. Ward D
3 P. van Aanholt D
29 A. Wan-Bissaka D
18 J. McArthur M
10 A. Townsend M
4 L. Milivojević M
7 M. Meyer M
11 W. Zaha F
23 M. Batshuayi F
Bench (7)
26 B. Sako
21 C. Wickham
28 L. Dreher
44 J. Riedewald
13 W. Hennessey
17 C. Benteke
32 N. Tavares

Coach: R. Hodgson

Bournemouth

4-4-1-1
42 M. Travers G
23 N. Clyne D
15 A. Smith D
3 S. Cook D
5 N. Aké M
25 J. Simpson D
24 R. Fraser M
10 J. Ibe M
8 J. Lerma M
13 C. Wilson F
17 J. King F
Bench (7)
33 C. Mepham
9 L. Mousset
44 S. Surridge
1 A. Boruc
22 E. Hyndman
36 M. Butcher
28 K. Taylor

Coach: E. Howe

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Roger East · 87 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
16,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.