La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Ath Bilbao
Levante
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Real Madrid
|
27 | 19 | 6 | 2 | +35 | 63 |
| 2 |
Sevilla
|
27 | 15 | 10 | 2 | +21 | 55 |
| 3 |
Barcelona
|
26 | 13 | 9 | 4 | +19 | 48 |
| 4 |
Ath Madrid
|
27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | +15 | 48 |
| 5 |
Betis
|
27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | +14 | 46 |
| 6 |
Sociedad
|
27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | -1 | 44 |
| 7 |
Villarreal
|
27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | +21 | 42 |
| 8 |
Ath Bilbao
|
26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | +4 | 37 |
| 9 |
Valencia
|
27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | -2 | 36 |
| 10 |
Celta
|
27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | +2 | 35 |
| 11 |
Osasuna
|
27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | -5 | 35 |
| 12 |
Espanol
|
27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | -7 | 32 |
| 13 |
Vallecano
|
26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | -4 | 31 |
| 14 |
Elche
|
27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | -10 | 29 |
| 15 |
Getafe
|
27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | -6 | 27 |
| 16 |
Mallorca
|
27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | -19 | 26 |
| 17 |
Granada
|
27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | -15 | 25 |
| 18 |
Cadiz
|
27 | 4 | 12 | 11 | -16 | 24 |
| 19 |
Alaves
|
27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | -23 | 22 |
| 20 |
Levante
|
26 | 3 | 9 | 14 | -23 | 18 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Barcelona
Ath Bilbao
Ath Bilbao
Sociedad
Mallorca
Ath Bilbao
Ath Bilbao
Espanol
Vallecano
Ath Bilbao
Alejandro Muñiz · 69 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.