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Pro League
Referee: J Boterberg
Mechelen
S T S T T
1–2
Full-time
Gent
U S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mechelen Gent
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
1,2
2,0
Conceded
1,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,3
This season — Pro League · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 50%
45%
55%
Points per game
1,5
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
58%
45%
Both score Ø 50%
58%
42%
Average goals
3,2
2,4
Scored
1,6
1,6
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

61% Possession 39%
12 Shots 22
5 Shots on target 9
8 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 10
3 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Mechelen 9. · Gent 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St. Gilloise 33 24 5 4 +54 77
2 Club Brugge 33 23 6 4 +40 75
3 Anderlecht 33 20 9 4 +50 69
4 Antwerp 33 19 6 8 +17 63
5 Gent 33 18 8 7 +28 62
6 Genk 33 17 6 10 +28 57
7 St Truiden 36 16 6 14 +2 54
8 Charleroi 33 15 8 10 +11 53
9 Mechelen 33 15 5 13 -3 50
10 Cercle Brugge 36 13 9 14 +4 48
11 Kortrijk 36 11 10 15 -1 43
12 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 36 10 12 14 -13 42
13 Oostende 36 11 8 17 -26 41
14 Standard 36 10 9 17 -19 39
15 Waregem 36 9 8 19 -30 35
16 Eupen 36 8 9 19 -25 33
17 Seraing United 36 9 5 22 -37 32
18 Seraing 34 8 4 22 -38 28
19 Beerschot VA 36 5 4 27 -41 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Mechelen Gent
36′
M. Ngadeu 0–1
A. Castro-Montes
Half-time 0–1
Hugo Cuypers ℹ️
VAR: Penalty awarded
48′
S. Oum Gouet 🔁
↦ Vinicius Souza
58′
67′
🔁 T. Tissoudali
↦ D. Lemajić
67′
🔁 J. Okumu
↦ A. Hanche-Olsen
67′
🔁 R. Bezus
↦ Y. Malede
67′
🔁 J. De Sart
↦ V. Odjidja-Ofoe
G. Engvall 🔁
↦ J. Van Hecke
75′
G. Hairemans 🔁
↦ M. Shved
75′
85′
🟨 Roman Bezus
87′
🟨 Bruno Godeau
1–1 G. Hairemans
89′
90′
🟨 Elisha Owusu
94′
T. Tissoudali 1–2
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Mechelen

4-2-3-1
1 G. Coucke G
23 T. Peyre D
30 J. Vanlerberghe D
18 A. Van Hoorenbeeck D
16 R. Schoofs M
33 Vinicius Souza M
6 J. Van Hecke D
11 N. Storm M
19 K. Mrabti M
35 M. Shved M
14 H. Cuypers F
Bench (7)
17 S. Oum Gouet
20 G. Engvall
7 G. Hairemans
15 Y. Thoelen
37 B. Van den Eynden
8 O. Kaya
4 D. Wouters

Coach: W. Vrancken

Gent

3-4-1-2
33 D. Roef G
31 B. Godeau D
5 M. Ngadeu D
25 Núrio Fortuna M
21 A. Hanche-Olsen D
14 A. Castro-Montes M
8 V. Odjidja-Ofoe F
24 S. Kums M
6 E. Owusu M
11 D. Lemajić F
23 Y. Malede F
Bench (7)
34 T. Tissoudali
2 J. Okumu
9 R. Bezus
13 J. De Sart
1 S. Bolat
12 M. Fofana
15 A. Oladoye

Coach: H. Vanhaezebrouck

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,79
U
3,80
B ✓
1,87
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,63
U2,5
2,24
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Boterberg · 112 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.