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Ekstraklasa

Referee: P Lasyk

Korona Kielce

U T T U T

2–2

Full-time

Pogon Szczecin

S S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Korona Kielce Pogon Szczecin

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

0,3

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,0

2,7

Scored

1,0

1,8

Conceded

2,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 24/24 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 52%

58%

46%

Average goals

2,4

3,0

Scored

1,1

1,8

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,90 xG 1,79

38% Possession 62%

11 Shots 13

3 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 5

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 8

3 Offside 0

12 Free kicks against 18

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Korona Kielce 16. · Pogon Szczecin 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Jagiellonia	25	14	6	5	+22	+10.5	48
2	Slask Wroclaw	25	13	7	5	+13	+4.8	46
3	Lech Poznan	25	12	8	5	+8	-2.8	44
4	Rakow	24	12	7	5	+20	+15.6	43
5	Pogon Szczecin	24	12	4	8	+16	+12.2	40
6	Gornik Zabrze	25	11	6	8	+5	-4.6	39
7	Legia	24	10	8	6	+6	+9.8	38
8	Stal Mielec	25	10	6	9	+0	-9.9	36
9	Zaglebie	25	9	7	9	-8	+2.8	34
10	Widzew Lodz	25	9	5	11	-3	-3.9	32
11	Radomiak Radom	25	8	7	10	-9	+0.7	31
12	Cracovia	25	5	13	7	-1	-0.3	28
13	Piast Gliwice	24	5	13	6	-3	+8.4	28
14	Warta Poznan	25	6	9	10	-7	-7.2	27
15	Puszcza	25	5	9	11	-13	-17.3	24
16	Korona Kielce	24	4	11	9	-6	-2.0	23
17	Ruch Chorzow	25	2	12	11	-13	-4.8	18
18	LKS Lodz	24	4	4	16	-27	-11.9	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Rakow	12	9	3	0	+23	+12.1	30
2	Jagiellonia	12	9	2	1	+20	+11.1	29
3	Lech Poznan	13	8	3	2	+14	+1.5	27
4	Stal Mielec	12	7	3	2	+9	+0.9	24
5	Gornik Zabrze	12	7	3	2	+6	-2.5	24
6	Legia	12	6	4	2	+9	+10.6	22
7	Slask Wroclaw	13	6	4	3	+7	+9.3	22
8	Widzew Lodz	12	7	0	5	+0	+3.7	21
9	Zaglebie	13	5	5	3	+0	+1.6	20
10	Puszcza	12	4	6	2	+0	-4.5	18
11	Pogon Szczecin	12	5	2	5	+3	+13.1	17
12	Piast Gliwice	12	4	5	3	+2	+8.7	17
13	Cracovia	13	3	6	4	+1	+1.2	15
14	Korona Kielce	12	3	6	3	+1	+6.1	15
15	Radomiak Radom	13	3	5	5	-4	+2.8	14
16	LKS Lodz	12	3	4	5	-10	-8.2	13
17	Ruch Chorzow	13	2	6	5	-3	+2.9	12
18	Warta Poznan	12	2	4	6	-5	-2.3	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Slask Wroclaw	12	7	3	2	+6	-4.4	24
2	Pogon Szczecin	12	7	2	3	+13	-1.0	23
3	Jagiellonia	13	5	4	4	+2	-0.6	19
4	Warta Poznan	13	4	5	4	-2	-4.9	17
5	Radomiak Radom	12	5	2	5	-5	-2.1	17
6	Lech Poznan	12	4	5	3	-6	-4.3	17
7	Legia	12	4	4	4	-3	-0.8	16
8	Gornik Zabrze	13	4	3	6	-1	-2.1	15
9	Zaglebie	12	4	2	6	-8	+1.3	14
10	Cracovia	12	2	7	3	-2	-1.5	13
11	Rakow	12	3	4	5	-3	+3.5	13
12	Stal Mielec	13	3	3	7	-9	-10.8	12
13	Widzew Lodz	13	2	5	6	-3	-7.6	11
14	Piast Gliwice	12	1	8	3	-5	-0.3	11
15	Korona Kielce	12	1	5	6	-7	-8.1	8
16	Ruch Chorzow	12	0	6	6	-10	-7.6	6
17	Puszcza	13	1	3	9	-13	-12.8	6
18	LKS Lodz	12	1	0	11	-17	-3.8	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.