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Bundesliga
Referee: A Kijas
A. Klagenfurt
U S S T U
0–4
Full-time
Sturm Graz
S S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

A. Klagenfurt Sturm Graz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Bundesliga · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 48%
36%
59%
Points per game
1,5
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
50%
41%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,4
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
1,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–4

40% Possession 60%
6 Shots 13
2 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 6
2 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match A. Klagenfurt 7. · Sturm Graz 2. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 22 15 5 2 +33 50
2 Sturm Graz 22 13 7 2 +22 46
3 LASK 23 9 9 5 +8 36
4 SK Rapid 23 8 10 5 +17 34
5 Hartberg 22 9 7 6 +5 34
6 Austria Vienna 23 9 7 7 +3 34
7 A. Klagenfurt 22 8 10 4 +2 34
8 Wolfsberger AC 23 8 7 8 -3 31
9 Altach 23 4 8 11 -13 20
10 BW Linz 23 4 8 11 -16 20
11 Tirol 23 4 3 16 -22 15
12 A. Lustenau 23 2 5 16 -36 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

12. Nov -23 A. Klagenfurt – Sturm Graz 0–3 12. Aug -23 Sturm Graz – A. Klagenfurt 0–0 14. May -23 Sturm Graz – A. Klagenfurt 4–1 16. Apr -23 A. Klagenfurt – Sturm Graz 0–2 25. Feb -23 Sturm Graz – A. Klagenfurt 1–2

Match report

A. Klagenfurt Sturm Graz
4′
⚽ M. Biereth 0–1
T. Horvat
18′
⚽ M. Biereth 0–2
A. Prass
23′
⚽ T. Horvat 0–3
O. Kiteishvili
Max Besuschkow 🟨
24′
K. Gkezos 🔁
↦ S. Straudi
29′
Christopher Wernitznig 🟨
35′
J. Arweiler 🔁
↦ S. Bonnah
36′
39′
⚽ W. Bøving 0–4
J. Gazibegović
Half-time 0–4
61′
🔁 S. Jatta
↦ O. Kiteishvili
A. Irving 🔁
↦ C. Wernitznig
72′
J. Robatsch 🔁
↦ C. Cvetko
72′
73′
🔁 A. Camara
↦ M. Biereth
73′
🔁 N. Geyrhofer
↦ J. Gorenc Stankovič
80′
🔁 S. Hierländer
↦ W. Bøving
80′
🔁 M. Johnston
↦ J. Gazibegović
Andy Irving 🟨
85′
Full-time 0–4

Line-ups

A. Klagenfurt

4-2-3-1
13 P. Menzel G
17 S. Straudi D
37 N. Wimmer D
31 T. Mahrer D
33 T. Schumacher D
24 C. Wernitznig M
14 C. Cvetko M
2 S. Bonnah M
23 M. Besuschkow M
77 A. Schwarz M
9 N. Binder F
Bench (7)
8 K. Gkezos
39 J. Arweiler
19 A. Irving
34 J. Robatsch
1 M. Knaller
6 A. Loune
20 R. Benatelli

Coach: P. Pacult

Sturm Graz

4-3-1-2
16 V. Jaroš G
22 J. Gazibegović D
42 D. Affengruber D
5 G. Wüthrich D
28 D. Schnegg D
19 T. Horvat M
4 J. Gorenc Stankovič M
8 A. Prass M
10 O. Kiteishvili M
18 M. Biereth F
15 W. Bøving F
Bench (7)
20 S. Jatta
36 A. Camara
35 N. Geyrhofer
25 S. Hierländer
2 M. Johnston
31 L. Marić
9 S. Włodarczyk

Coach: C. Ilzer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B ✓
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

A Kijas · 62 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.