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LaLiga2
Referee: Miguel Sesma
Elche
T U S S S
3–2
Full-time
Albacete
U S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elche Albacete
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
0%
67%
Average goals
1,3
2,0
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
0,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,0
This season — LaLiga2 · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 35%
47%
23%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 32%
23%
40%
Both score Ø 45%
30%
60%
Average goals
1,8
2,6
Scored
1,0
1,1
Conceded
0,8
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

68% Possession 32%
22 Shots 7
7 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
9 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 19
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Elche 3. · Albacete 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Leganes 31 16 8 7 +25 56
2 Eibar 31 15 7 9 +14 52
3 Elche 30 14 8 8 +7 50
4 Espanol 30 13 10 7 +13 49
5 Sp Gijon 31 13 10 8 +9 49
6 Burgos 31 14 7 10 +2 49
7 Oviedo 31 12 12 7 +13 48
8 Valladolid 31 14 6 11 +5 48
9 Santander 31 13 8 10 +5 47
10 Ferrol 31 12 11 8 +2 47
11 Levante 31 10 14 7 +1 44
12 Eldense 31 10 12 9 -1 42
13 Tenerife 31 11 8 12 -2 41
14 Huesca 31 8 13 10 +3 37
15 Zaragoza 30 9 10 11 +0 37
16 Mirandes 31 9 9 13 -7 36
17 Cartagena 31 9 8 14 -12 35
18 Albacete 30 7 10 13 -9 31
19 Villarreal B 31 7 9 15 -18 30
20 Alcorcon 31 7 9 15 -20 30
21 Andorra 30 7 8 15 -14 29
22 Amorebieta 30 5 9 16 -16 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Elche Albacete
11′
Manu Fuster 0–1
Riki Rodríguez
Nicolás Fernández 🟨
16′
Rodrigo Mendoza 🔁
↦ Sergio Carreira
37′
1–1 Tete Morente
45′
Half-time 2–1
2–1 N. Fernández Mercau
Mourad
49′
61′
🟨 Lander Olaetxea
68′
🔁 Julio Alonso
↦ J. Silva
68′
🔁 Fidel
↦ Rai Marchán
Sergio Bermejo 🔁
↦ N. Fernández Mercau
70′
Mourad El Ghezouani 🟨
77′
78′
Manu Fuster 2–2
Álvaro Rodríguez
3–2 Mourad
80′
82′
🔁 Juanma García
↦ Riki Rodríguez
85′
🔁 Antonio Pacheco
↦ Agus Medina
Aleix Febas 🔁
↦ Arnau Puigmal
87′
Borja Garcés 🔁
↦ Mourad
88′
95′
🟨 Álvaro Rodríguez
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Elche

4-4-2
13 M. Dituro G
17 Josan D
5 John Donald D
23 Carlos Clerc D
12 José Salinas D
24 Sergio Carreira M
8 Arnau Puigmal M
21 N. Castro M
11 Tete Morente M
19 Mourad F
22 N. Fernández Mercau F
Bench (11)
30 Rodrigo Mendoza
9 Sergio Bermejo
14 Aleix Febas
18 Borja Garcés
3 J. Méndez
37 R. Núñez
35 David López
10 Manu Nieto
20 Cristian Salvador
1 Miguel San Román
4 Diego González

Coach: S. Beccacece

Albacete

4-3-1-2
25 T. Vaclík G
23 Álvaro Rodríguez D
15 Kaiky D
24 Cristian Glauder D
3 J. Silva D
6 Rai Marchán M
19 Lander Olaetxea M
8 Riki Rodríguez M
4 Agus Medina M
21 Alberto Quiles F
10 Manu Fuster F
Bench (9)
17 Julio Alonso
11 Fidel
7 Juanma García
18 Antonio Pacheco
5 Juan Antonio
2 M. Djetei
14 Pedro Benito
13 Diego Altube
1 Bernabé Barragán

Coach: Rubén Albés

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,72
U
3,41
B
5,14
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,28
U2,5
1,61
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Miguel Sesma · 45 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.