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Europa League
Referee: José Sánchez
St. Gilloise
T T T S U
3–0
Full-time
Union Berlin
S T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St. Gilloise Union Berlin
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
4,3
2,5
Scored
2,2
1,2
Conceded
2,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 7/9 matches
Win Ø 57%
57%
56%
Points per game
2,0
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
57%
22%
Both score Ø 40%
57%
22%
Average goals
3,4
1,8
Scored
2,0
1,1
Conceded
1,4
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,73 xG 0,43
55% Possession 45%
13 Shots 6
9 Shots on target 1
1 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
0 Corners 3
1 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1

Recent head-to-head meetings

9. Mar -23 Union Berlin – St. Gilloise 3–3 3. Nov -22 St. Gilloise – Union Berlin 0–1 8. Sep -22 Union Berlin – St. Gilloise 0–1

Match report

St. Gilloise Union Berlin
1–0 T. Teuma ⚽
S. Adingra
18′
27′
🟨 Diogo Leite
Half-time 1–0
48′
🟨 Aissa Laïdouni
56′
🔁 J. Haberer
↦ A. Laïdouni
56′
🔁 J. Siebatcheu
↦ S. Michel
60′
🟨 Janik Haberer
2–0 L. Amani ⚽
63′
G. Nilsson 🔁
↦ S. Adingra
67′
67′
🔁 J. Leweling
↦ M. Thorsby
74′
🔁 C. Trimmel
↦ J. Roussillon
74′
🔁 N. Gießelmann
↦ J. Juranović
80′
🟨 Janik Haberer
80′
🟥 Janik Haberer
Bart Nieuwkoop 🟨
85′
O. El Azzouzi 🔁
↦ T. Teuma
85′
C. Terho 🔁
↦ V. Boniface
92′
94′
🟨 Rani Khedira
3–0 L. Lapoussin ⚽
L. Amani
94′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

St. Gilloise

3-5-2
49 A. Moris G
59 I. Kandouss D
16 C. Burgess D
44 S. Van der Heyden D
2 B. Nieuwkoop M
8 L. Amani M
20 S. Lynen M
10 T. Teuma M
94 L. Lapoussin M
11 S. Adingra F
7 V. Boniface F
Bench (10)
29 G. Nilsson
6 O. El Azzouzi
17 C. Terho
21 L. Pirard
26 R. Sykes
28 K. Machida
23 Cameron Puertas
35 N. Huygevelde
9 D. Eckert Ayensa
14 J. Imbrechts

Coach: K. Geraerts

Union Berlin

3-5-2
1 F. Rønnow G
5 D. Doekhi D
31 R. Knoche D
4 Diogo Leite D
18 J. Juranović M
20 A. Laïdouni M
8 R. Khedira M
2 M. Thorsby M
26 J. Roussillon M
27 S. Becker F
11 S. Michel F
Bench (10)
19 J. Haberer
45 J. Siebatcheu
40 J. Leweling
28 C. Trimmel
23 N. Gießelmann
3 P. Jaeckel
36 A. Kemlein
39 Y. Stein
37 L. Grill
16 T. Maciejewski

Coach: U. Fischer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

José Sánchez · 156 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.