Serie A
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Fiorentina
Empoli
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Napoli
|
23 | 20 | 2 | 1 | +41 | +4.4 | 62 |
| 2 |
Inter
|
23 | 15 | 2 | 6 | +17 | +6.1 | 47 |
| 3 |
Juventus
|
22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | +17 | +3.1 | 44 |
| 4 |
Milan
|
23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | +9 | -1.3 | 44 |
| 5 |
Atalanta
|
23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | +16 | +2.4 | 41 |
| 6 |
Roma
|
22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | +10 | +2.7 | 41 |
| 7 |
Lazio
|
22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | +18 | -0.5 | 39 |
| 8 |
Bologna
|
23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | -3 | -0.7 | 32 |
| 9 |
Udinese
|
23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | +3 | -1.2 | 30 |
| 10 |
Torino
|
22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | -1 | +0.3 | 30 |
| 11 |
Monza
|
23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | -3 | -1.6 | 29 |
| 12 |
Lecce
|
23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | -2 | -1.0 | 27 |
| 13 |
Empoli
|
22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | -7 | -0.5 | 27 |
| 14 |
Fiorentina
|
22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | -6 | +0.8 | 24 |
| 15 |
Sassuolo
|
23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | -9 | -0.2 | 24 |
| 16 |
Salernitana
|
22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | -17 | -3.3 | 21 |
| 17 |
Spezia
|
22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -18 | -3.5 | 19 |
| 18 |
Verona
|
22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | -13 | -0.9 | 17 |
| 19 |
Sampdoria
|
23 | 2 | 5 | 16 | -27 | -1.8 | 11 |
| 20 |
Cremonese
|
22 | 0 | 8 | 14 | -25 | -3.3 | 8 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
P. Terracciano
G
N. Milenković
D
A. Terzić
D
S. Amrabat
M
R. Mandragora
M
N. González
F
L. Jović
F
Coach: V. Italiano
G. Vicario
G
A. Ismajli
D
S. Luperto
D
R. Marin
M
F. Bandinelli
M
T. Baldanzi
M
N. Cambiaghi
F
Coach: P. Zanetti
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Sp Braga
Fiorentina
Juventus
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
Bologna
Fiorentina
Torino
Lazio
Fiorentina
A Prontera · 64 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.