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Serie A
Referee: A Prontera
Fiorentina
U S T T S
1–1
Full-time
Empoli
S S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fiorentina Empoli
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Serie A · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 27%
27%
27%
Points per game
1,1
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 37%
41%
32%
Both score Ø 50%
55%
45%
Average goals
2,4
2,2
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2,23 xG 0,80
61% Possession 39%
27 Shots 5
4 Shots on target 3
8 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
13 Corners 1
3 Offside 3
8 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Fiorentina 14. · Empoli 13.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Napoli 23 20 2 1 +41 +4.4 62
2 Inter 23 15 2 6 +17 +6.1 47
3 Juventus 22 13 5 4 +17 +3.1 44
4 Milan 23 13 5 5 +9 -1.3 44
5 Atalanta 23 12 5 6 +16 +2.4 41
6 Roma 22 12 5 5 +10 +2.7 41
7 Lazio 22 11 6 5 +18 -0.5 39
8 Bologna 23 9 5 9 -3 -0.7 32
9 Udinese 23 7 9 7 +3 -1.2 30
10 Torino 22 8 6 8 -1 +0.3 30
11 Monza 23 8 5 10 -3 -1.6 29
12 Lecce 23 6 9 8 -2 -1.0 27
13 Empoli 22 6 9 7 -7 -0.5 27
14 Fiorentina 22 6 6 10 -6 +0.8 24
15 Sassuolo 23 6 6 11 -9 -0.2 24
16 Salernitana 22 5 6 11 -17 -3.3 21
17 Spezia 22 4 7 11 -18 -3.5 19
18 Verona 22 4 5 13 -13 -0.9 17
19 Sampdoria 23 2 5 16 -27 -1.8 11
20 Cremonese 22 0 8 14 -25 -3.3 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Fiorentina Empoli
27′
🟨 Jean-Daniel Akpa Akpro
28′
N. Cambiaghi 0–1
F. Caputo
Igor 🔁
↦ N. Milenković
40′
45′
ℹ️ Francesco Caputo
VAR: Goal cancelled
Half-time 0–1
J. Ikoné 🔁
↦ R. Saponara
46′
Dodô 🔁
↦ L. Venuti
46′
49′
🟨 Ardian Ismajli
59′
🔁 M. Satriano
↦ N. Cambiaghi
60′
🟨 Liberato Cacace
64′
🟨 Tommaso Baldanzi
Arthur Cabral 🔁
↦ L. Jović
69′
Lucas Martínez Quarta 🟨
70′
G. Bonaventura 🔁
↦ S. Amrabat
70′
73′
🟨 Filippo Bandinelli
73′
🔁 N. Haas
↦ T. Baldanzi
73′
🔁 L. Henderson
↦ J. Akpa Akpro
84′
🔁 R. Piccoli
↦ F. Caputo
84′
🔁 A. Grassi
↦ F. Bandinelli
1–1 Arthur Cabral
85′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Fiorentina

4-3-3
1 P. Terracciano G
23 L. Venuti D
4 N. Milenković D
28 L. Martínez D
15 A. Terzić D
72 A. Barák M
34 S. Amrabat M
38 R. Mandragora M
22 N. González F
7 L. Jović F
8 R. Saponara F
Bench (15)
98 Igor
11 J. Ikoné
2 Dodô
9 Arthur Cabral
5 G. Bonaventura
3 C. Biraghi
42 A. Bianco
31 M. Cerofolini
10 G. Castrovilli
32 A. Duncan
16 L. Ranieri
56 S. Sirigu
77 J. Brekalo
99 C. Kouamé
33 R. Sottil

Coach: V. Italiano

Empoli

4-3-1-2
13 G. Vicario G
24 T. Ebuehi D
34 A. Ismajli D
33 S. Luperto D
3 L. Cacace D
11 J. Akpa Akpro M
18 R. Marin M
25 F. Bandinelli M
35 T. Baldanzi M
28 N. Cambiaghi F
19 F. Caputo F
Bench (13)
9 M. Satriano
32 N. Haas
8 L. Henderson
91 R. Piccoli
5 A. Grassi
1 S. Perisan
55 E. Vignato
30 P. Stojanović
22 S. Ujkani
21 J. Fazzini
4 S. Walukiewicz
14 M. Pjaca
6 K. De Winter

Coach: P. Zanetti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,62
U ✓
4,07
B
5,44
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,84
U2,5 ✓
2,00
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Prontera · 64 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.