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Conference League
Referee: M Al Hakim
Qarabag
S S U T U
1–0
Full-time
Gent
T S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Qarabag Gent
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,8
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
0,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,85 xG 0,71
49% Possession 51%
15 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 0
4 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 5
1 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Qarabag Gent
Half-time 0–0
Musa Qurbanlı ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
49′
51′
🟨 Jordan Torunarigha
60′
🔁 A. Hjulsager
↦ A. Castro-Montes
A. Diakhaby 🔁
↦ M. Qurbanlı
66′
71′
🟨 Julien De Sart
Y. Benzia 🔁
↦ Leandro Andrade
78′
R. Xhixha 🔁
↦ R. Şeydayev
78′
1–0 Leandro Andrade ⚽
M. Janković
78′
86′
🔁 L. Depoitre
↦ H. Cuypers
86′
🔁 S. Marreh
↦ S. Kums
86′
🔁 Núrio Fortuna
↦ B. Godeau
R. Almeyda 🔁
↦ M. Janković
90′
Luka Gugeshashvili 🟨
92′
92′
🔁 M. Fofana
↦ J. Okumu
93′
🟨 Sulayman Marreh
Redon Xhixha 🟨
96′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Qarabag

4-2-3-1
23 L. Gugeshashvili G
29 M. Vešović D
13 B. Mustafazadə D
55 B. Hüseynov D
44 E. Cəfərquliyev D
6 Júlio Romão M
8 M. Janković M
77 R. Şeydayev M
15 Leandro Andrade M
10 A. Zoubir M
9 M. Qurbanlı F
Bench (12)
87 A. Diakhaby
7 Y. Benzia
99 R. Xhixha
20 R. Almeyda
18 İ. İbrahimli
89 A. Ramazanov
4 R. Məmmədov
27 T. Bayramov
94 A. Arazli
19 F. Ozobić
5 M. Medvedev
2 Q. Qarayev

Coach: Q. Qurbanov

Gent

4-4-1-1
33 D. Roef G
2 J. Okumu D
5 M. Ngadeu D
23 J. Torunarigha D
31 B. Godeau D
14 A. Castro-Montes M
13 J. De Sart M
24 S. Kums M
7 Hong Hyun-Seok M
11 H. Cuypers F
20 G. Orban F
Bench (7)
17 A. Hjulsager
29 L. Depoitre
22 S. Marreh
25 Núrio Fortuna
19 M. Fofana
10 J. Hauge
1 P. Nardi

Coach: H. Vanhaezebrouck

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Al Hakim · 112 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.