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Pro League

Referee: C Dierick

Mechelen

S S U U U

3–2

Full-time

Kortrijk

S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mechelen Kortrijk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

2,0

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

3,2

3,0

Scored

2,0

1,3

Conceded

1,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,3

This season — Pro League · 28/34 matches

Win Ø 39%

46%

32%

Points per game

1,6

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

61%

35%

Both score Ø 54%

61%

47%

Average goals

3,3

2,5

Scored

1,6

1,3

Conceded

1,6

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

53% Possession 47%

15 Shots 15

7 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 6

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

11 Corners 6

7 Free kicks against 11

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Mechelen 9. · Kortrijk 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	28	21	4	3	+47	67
2	Club Brugge	29	20	5	4	+35	65
3	Anderlecht	28	17	8	3	+43	59
4	Antwerp	28	18	4	6	+21	58
5	Gent	28	15	7	6	+21	52
6	St Truiden	35	15	6	14	-1	51
7	Charleroi	28	14	7	7	+15	49
8	Cercle Brugge	34	13	7	14	+4	46
9	Mechelen	28	13	5	10	+0	44
10	Kortrijk	34	11	10	13	+1	43
11	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	34	10	12	12	-7	42
12	Genk	27	12	5	10	+16	41
13	Standard	34	10	9	15	-14	39
14	Oostende	34	10	7	17	-28	37
15	Waregem	35	9	8	18	-27	35
16	Eupen	34	8	9	17	-18	33
17	Seraing	33	8	4	21	-36	28
18	Seraing United	32	8	3	21	-36	27
19	Beerschot VA	35	5	4	26	-36	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Anderlecht	14	9	4	1	+22	31
2	Club Brugge	14	9	4	1	+16	31
3	Gent	14	9	3	2	+18	30
4	St. Gilloise	14	9	3	2	+16	30
5	Mechelen	14	9	2	3	+12	29
6	Antwerp	14	9	2	3	+12	29
7	Genk	14	8	3	3	+17	27
8	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	17	7	4	6	-1	25
9	Cercle Brugge	17	7	3	7	+5	24
10	St Truiden	17	7	3	7	+2	24
11	Charleroi	14	6	4	4	+7	22
12	Kortrijk	17	6	4	7	+2	22
13	Waregem	18	6	4	8	-8	22
14	Seraing	16	5	3	8	-12	18
15	Seraing United	16	5	3	8	-12	18
16	Oostende	17	5	3	9	-18	18
17	Eupen	17	4	4	9	-10	16
18	Beerschot VA	18	5	1	12	-14	16
19	Standard	17	3	5	9	-10	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	14	12	1	1	+31	37
2	Club Brugge	15	11	1	3	+19	34
3	Antwerp	14	9	2	3	+9	29
4	Anderlecht	14	8	4	2	+21	28
5	Charleroi	14	8	3	3	+8	27
6	St Truiden	18	8	3	7	-3	27
7	Standard	17	7	4	6	-4	25
8	Gent	14	6	4	4	+3	22
9	Cercle Brugge	17	6	4	7	-1	22
10	Kortrijk	17	5	6	6	-1	21
11	Oostende	17	5	4	8	-10	19
12	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	17	3	8	6	-6	17
13	Eupen	17	4	5	8	-8	17
14	Mechelen	14	4	3	7	-12	15
15	Genk	13	4	2	7	-1	14
16	Waregem	17	3	4	10	-19	13
17	Seraing	17	3	1	13	-24	10
18	Seraing United	16	3	0	13	-24	9
19	Beerschot VA	17	0	3	14	-22	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.