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Bundesliga
Referee: T Reichel
1–4
Full-time
Leverkusen
T S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Greuther Furth Leverkusen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,0
1,5
Scored
0,3
0,8
Conceded
1,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+0,2
This season — Bundesliga · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 30%
10%
50%
Points per game
0,6
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
63%
67%
Both score Ø 64%
60%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,7
Scored
0,8
2,3
Conceded
2,4
1,4
Goal diff per game
-1,6
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

52% Possession 48%
8 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 3
2 Offside 3
4 Free kicks against 13
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Greuther Furth 18. · Leverkusen 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 30 23 3 4 +60 72
2 Dortmund 30 20 3 7 +33 63
3 RB Leipzig 30 16 6 8 +34 54
4 Leverkusen 30 15 7 8 +25 52
5 Freiburg 30 14 9 7 +15 51
6 Union Berlin 30 13 8 9 +1 47
7 FC Koln 30 12 10 8 +0 46
8 Hoffenheim 30 13 6 11 +5 45
9 Mainz 31 11 6 14 +2 39
10 Ein Frankfurt 30 10 9 11 -2 39
11 Wolfsburg 31 11 4 16 -12 37
12 M'gladbach 30 10 7 13 -13 37
13 Bochum 30 10 6 14 -13 36
14 Augsburg 30 8 8 14 -13 32
15 Hertha 30 8 5 17 -34 29
16 Stuttgart 30 6 10 14 -17 28
17 Bielefeld 30 5 11 14 -23 26
18 Greuther Furth 30 3 8 19 -48 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Greuther Furth Leverkusen
1–0 J. Willems
J. Ngankam
5′
8′
P. Schick 1–1
9′
ℹ️ Patrik Schick
VAR: Goal confirmed
18′
S. Azmoun 1–2
Half-time 1–3
58′
Paulinho 1–3
S. Azmoun
G. Jung 🔁
↦ J. Willems
70′
73′
🔁 D. Sinkgraven
↦ S. Azmoun
77′
🔁 E. Palacios
↦ K. Demirbay
82′
🔁 J. Baumgartlinger
↦ M. Diaby
82′
🔁 L. Alario
↦ P. Schick
D. Abiama 🔁
↦ J. Ngankam
83′
J. Dudziak 🔁
↦ T. Tillman
83′
84′
E. Palacios 1–4
C. Aránguiz
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Greuther Furth

3-4-1-2
26 A. Linde G
24 N. Viergever D
15 J. Willems M
27 G. Itter D
2 S. Asta M
22 S. Griesbeck D
37 J. Green F
21 T. Tillman M
20 T. Raschl M
10 B. Hrgota F
17 J. Ngankam F
Bench (7)
23 G. Jung
11 D. Abiama
28 J. Dudziak
1 M. Funk
32 A. Barry
19 O. Fobassam
30 S. Burchert

Coach: S. Leitl

Leverkusen

4-2-2-2
1 L. Hrádecký G
4 J. Tah D
5 M. Bakker D
12 E. Tapsoba D
6 O. Kossounou D
20 C. Aránguiz M
10 K. Demirbay M
9 S. Azmoun F
14 P. Schick F
19 M. Diaby M
7 Paulinho M
Bench (7)
22 D. Sinkgraven
25 E. Palacios
15 J. Baumgartlinger
13 L. Alario
21 L. Grill
40 A. Lunev
39 S. Fofana

Coach: G. Seoane

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
8,50
U
5,33
B ✓
1,36
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,53
U2,5
2,53
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

T Reichel · 78 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.