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Süper Lig
Referee: E Özdamar
Karagumruk
T S T S U
2–1
Full-time
Giresunspor
S T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Karagumruk Giresunspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,0
This season — Süper Lig · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 36%
39%
33%
Points per game
1,4
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
48%
42%
Both score Ø 47%
45%
48%
Average goals
2,7
2,2
Scored
1,2
1,1
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

47% Possession 53%
7 Shots 8
2 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
2 Corners 5
2 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 6
1 Yellow cards 0
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Karagumruk 10. · Giresunspor 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Trabzonspor 33 21 10 2 +32 73
2 Fenerbahce 34 19 8 7 +29 65
3 Konyaspor 33 18 7 8 +20 61
4 Buyuksehyr 33 16 6 11 +14 54
5 Ad. Demirspor 33 14 10 9 +12 52
6 Alanyaspor 33 15 7 11 +4 52
7 Besiktas 33 13 12 8 +8 51
8 Antalyaspor 33 14 8 11 +4 50
9 Hatayspor 33 14 7 12 -1 49
10 Karagumruk 33 13 8 12 -8 47
11 Kasimpasa 33 12 8 13 +6 44
12 Galatasaray 33 12 8 13 -3 44
13 Sivasspor 33 10 12 11 +0 42
14 Kayserispor 33 11 9 13 -8 42
15 Gaziantep 33 11 8 14 -6 41
16 Giresunspor 33 11 7 15 -4 40
17 Altay 33 8 6 19 -15 30
18 Rizespor 34 8 6 20 -32 30
19 Goztep 33 7 6 20 -20 27
20 Yeni Malatyaspor 33 5 5 23 -32 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Karagumruk Giresunspor
Burak Bekaroğlu 🟨
42′
Half-time 0–0
J. Durmaz 🔁
↦ Y. Karamoh
46′
A. Ugur 🔁
↦ L. Mercan
46′
F. Borini 🔁
↦ K. Bistrović
46′
48′
Chiquinho 0–1
1–1 A. Pešić
52′
2–1 J. Durmaz
A. Pešić
65′
68′
🔁 F. Diabaté
↦ M. Suleymanov
68′
🔁 M. Gümüşkaya
↦ H. Traoré
Jimmy Durmaz 🟥
78′
A. Touré 🔁
↦ E. Mor
82′
A. Musa 🔁
↦ A. Pešić
87′
87′
🔁 I. Baldé
↦ Serginho
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Karagumruk

4-1-4-1
2 E. Viviano G
88 C. Erkin D
4 D. Biraschi D
25 D. Luckassen D
86 B. Bekaroğlu D
6 L. Biglia M
9 E. Mor M
23 K. Bistrović M
18 L. Mercan M
72 A. Pešić F
92 Y. Karamoh M
Bench (10)
10 J. Durmaz
77 A. Ugur
16 F. Borini
94 A. Touré
7 A. Musa
21 U. Yuvakuran
29 J. Balkovec
22 S. Onur
30 S. Dursun
60 A. Erdem

Coach: A. Canel

Giresunspor

4-2-3-1
34 O. Kocuk G
16 A. Behich D
25 A. Pérez D
35 S. Piçinciol D
77 H. Bilazer D
8 H. Traoré M
22 Chiquinho M
24 Flavio M
7 Serginho M
17 U. Nayir F
93 M. Suleymanov M
Bench (10)
18 F. Diabaté
21 M. Gümüşkaya
11 I. Baldé
85 F. Yılmaz
15 A. Çınar
33 G. Cörüt
1 O. Piri
67 F. Kütük
5 Z. Yavru
26 E. Taşdemir

Coach: H. Keleş

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,38
U
3,34
B
2,92
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,84
U2,5
1,99
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

E Özdamar · 40 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,38 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.