Premier League
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Brentford
Tottenham
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Man City
|
33 | 25 | 5 | 3 | +59 | 80 |
| 2 |
Liverpool
|
32 | 23 | 7 | 2 | +61 | 76 |
| 3 |
Chelsea
|
31 | 18 | 8 | 5 | +39 | 62 |
| 4 |
Arsenal
|
33 | 19 | 3 | 11 | +12 | 60 |
| 5 |
Tottenham
|
32 | 18 | 3 | 11 | +18 | 57 |
| 6 |
Man United
|
34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | +2 | 54 |
| 7 |
West Ham
|
33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | +9 | 52 |
| 8 |
Wolves
|
32 | 15 | 4 | 13 | +5 | 49 |
| 9 |
Newcastle
|
34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | -15 | 43 |
| 10 |
Leicester
|
32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | -4 | 42 |
| 11 |
Brighton
|
33 | 9 | 13 | 11 | -11 | 40 |
| 12 |
Brentford
|
33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | -8 | 39 |
| 13 |
Southampton
|
33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | -16 | 39 |
| 14 |
Crystal Palace
|
32 | 8 | 13 | 11 | +2 | 37 |
| 15 |
Aston Villa
|
32 | 11 | 4 | 17 | -4 | 37 |
| 16 |
Leeds
|
32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | -30 | 33 |
| 17 |
Everton
|
31 | 8 | 5 | 18 | -19 | 29 |
| 18 |
Burnley
|
32 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -17 | 28 |
| 19 |
Watford
|
33 | 6 | 4 | 23 | -36 | 22 |
| 20 |
Norwich
|
33 | 5 | 6 | 22 | -47 | 21 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
David Raya
G
P. Jansson
D
R. Henry
D
M. Sørensen
D
M. Jensen
M
V. Janelt
M
B. Mbeumo
F
Coach: T. Frank
B. Davies
D
C. Romero
D
P. Højbjerg
M
E. Dier
D
R. Bentancur
M
R. Sessegnon
M
H. Kane
F
Coach: A. Conte
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Watford
Brentford
Brentford
West Ham
Chelsea
Brentford
Leicester
Brentford
Brentford
Burnley
M Atkinson · 53 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.