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Serie A

Referee: I Pezzuto

Milan

S S S S U

2–0

Full-time

Venezia

U T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Milan Venezia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,0

2,2

Scored

1,7

0,7

Conceded

0,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-0,8

This season — Serie A · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 50%

75%

25%

Points per game

2,5

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

25%

75%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,5

2,8

Scored

2,0

0,8

Conceded

0,5

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,5

-1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

67% Possession 33%

15 Shots 8

4 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 4

1 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 13

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Milan 3. · Venezia 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	5	4	1	0	+13	13
2	Napoli	4	4	0	0	+8	12
3	Milan	4	3	1	0	+6	10
4	Atalanta	5	3	1	1	+2	10
5	Roma	4	3	0	1	+6	9
6	Fiorentina	5	3	0	2	-1	9
7	Bologna	5	2	2	1	-3	8
8	Lazio	4	2	1	1	+5	7
9	Udinese	4	2	1	1	+0	7
10	Torino	4	2	0	2	+3	6
11	Sampdoria	4	1	2	1	+2	5
12	Juventus	5	1	2	2	-1	5
13	Sassuolo	5	1	1	3	-2	4
14	Verona	5	1	1	3	-3	4
15	Genoa	5	1	1	3	-5	4
16	Spezia	5	1	1	3	-6	4
17	Empoli	4	1	0	3	-5	3
18	Venezia	4	1	0	3	-5	3
19	Cagliari	4	0	2	2	-4	2
20	Salernitana	5	0	1	4	-10	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bologna	3	2	1	0	+2	7
2	Inter	2	2	0	0	+9	6
3	Milan	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Roma	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Napoli	2	2	0	0	+3	6
6	Lazio	2	1	1	0	+5	4
7	Atalanta	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Udinese	3	1	1	1	-1	4
9	Torino	2	1	0	1	+3	3
10	Fiorentina	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Verona	3	1	0	2	-2	3
12	Cagliari	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Sampdoria	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Juventus	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Sassuolo	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Salernitana	3	0	1	2	-5	1
17	Venezia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Genoa	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Spezia	2	0	0	2	-2	0
20	Empoli	3	0	0	3	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	3	2	1	0	+4	7
2	Napoli	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Atalanta	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Fiorentina	3	2	0	1	+0	6
5	Sampdoria	2	1	1	0	+3	4
6	Milan	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Juventus	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Genoa	3	1	1	1	-3	4
9	Spezia	3	1	1	1	-4	4
10	Roma	2	1	0	1	+3	3
11	Empoli	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Udinese	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Lazio	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Torino	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	Sassuolo	3	1	0	2	-1	3
16	Venezia	3	1	0	2	-4	3
17	Verona	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	Cagliari	2	0	1	1	-3	1
19	Bologna	2	0	1	1	-5	1
20	Salernitana	2	0	0	2	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.