La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Real Madrid
Mallorca
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 3–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Ath Madrid
|
6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +4 | 14 |
| 2 |
Real Madrid
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +8 | 13 |
| 3 |
Sevilla
|
5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +6 | 11 |
| 4 |
Valencia
|
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 10 |
| 5 |
Vallecano
|
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 10 |
| 6 |
Sociedad
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 10 |
| 7 |
Ath Bilbao
|
6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 9 |
| 8 |
Barcelona
|
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +3 | 8 |
| 9 |
Osasuna
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +0 | 8 |
| 10 |
Mallorca
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +0 | 8 |
| 11 |
Betis
|
5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +0 | 6 |
| 12 |
Elche
|
5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +0 | 6 |
| 13 |
Espanol
|
6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 6 |
| 14 |
Cadiz
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 |
Villarreal
|
4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | +0 | 4 |
| 16 |
Levante
|
6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -3 | 4 |
| 17 |
Celta
|
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 4 |
| 18 |
Granada
|
5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -5 | 3 |
| 19 |
Getafe
|
6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -8 | 0 |
| 20 |
Alaves
|
5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -10 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
T. Courtois
G
Miguel Gutiérrez
D
F. Valverde
M
E. Camavinga
M
Asensio
M
Vinícius Júnior
F
Coach: C. Ancelotti
M. Valjent
D
Febas
M
T. Kubo
M
Lee Kang-In
M
M. Hoppe
F
Coach: Luis García
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Valencia
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Celta
Betis
Real Madrid
Levante
Real Madrid
Alaves
Real Madrid
Javier Alberola · 108 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.