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La Liga
Referee: Javier Alberola
Real Madrid
S U S S S
6–1
Full-time
Mallorca
U S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Real Madrid Mallorca
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
83%
17%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
4,2
1,7
Scored
2,8
0,8
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,0
This season — La Liga · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 60%
80%
40%
Points per game
2,6
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
80%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
80%
20%
Average goals
4,4
1,2
Scored
3,0
0,6
Conceded
1,4
0,6
Goal diff per game
+1,6
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

59% Possession 41%
18 Shots 17
12 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
3 Corners 2
2 Offside 0
18 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Real Madrid 2. · Mallorca 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ath Madrid 6 4 2 0 +4 14
2 Real Madrid 5 4 1 0 +8 13
3 Sevilla 5 3 2 0 +6 11
4 Valencia 6 3 1 2 +4 10
5 Vallecano 6 3 1 2 +4 10
6 Sociedad 5 3 1 1 +2 10
7 Ath Bilbao 6 2 3 1 +2 9
8 Barcelona 4 2 2 0 +3 8
9 Osasuna 5 2 2 1 +0 8
10 Mallorca 5 2 2 1 +0 8
11 Betis 5 1 3 1 +0 6
12 Elche 5 1 3 1 +0 6
13 Espanol 6 1 3 2 -1 6
14 Cadiz 5 1 2 2 -2 5
15 Villarreal 4 0 4 0 +0 4
16 Levante 6 0 4 2 -3 4
17 Celta 6 1 1 4 -4 4
18 Granada 5 0 3 2 -5 3
19 Getafe 6 0 0 6 -8 0
20 Alaves 5 0 0 5 -10 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Real Madrid Mallorca
1–0 K. Benzema
3′
2–0 Asensio
24′
25′
Lee Kang-In 2–1
M. Hoppe
3–1 Asensio
K. Benzema
29′
Half-time 3–1
46′
🔁 I. Baba
↦ T. Kubo
Eduardo Camavinga 🟨
47′
Karim Benzema ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
50′
50′
ℹ️ Karim Benzema
VAR: Goal confirmed
4–1 Asensio
K. Benzema
55′
57′
🟨 Iddrisu Baba
59′
🔁 Jaume Costa
↦ Josep Gayá
59′
🔁 Abdón Prats
↦ M. Hoppe
59′
🔁 Antonio Sánchez
↦ Febas
Antonio Blanco 🔁
↦ E. Camavinga
60′
Nacho Fernández 🟨
67′
Lucas Vázquez 🔁
↦ Rodrygo
72′
Isco 🔁
↦ Asensio
72′
76′
🔁 Jordi Mboula
↦ L. Junior
5–1 K. Benzema
D. Alaba
78′
Sergio Santos 🔁
↦ Nacho
80′
L. Jović 🔁
↦ K. Benzema
80′
6–1 Isco
Vinícius Júnior
84′
Full-time 6–1

Line-ups

Real Madrid

4-3-3
1 T. Courtois G
4 D. Alaba D
6 Nacho D
3 Éder Militão D
35 Miguel Gutiérrez D
15 F. Valverde M
25 E. Camavinga M
9 K. Benzema F
11 Asensio M
20 Vinícius Júnior F
21 Rodrygo F
Bench (12)
27 Antonio Blanco
17 Lucas Vázquez
22 Isco
43 Sergio Santos
16 L. Jović
10 L. Modrić
14 Casemiro
13 A. Lunin
40 Toni Fuidias
24 M. Díaz
7 E. Hazard
5 Vallejo

Coach: C. Ancelotti

Mallorca

4-2-3-1
1 Manolo Reina G
3 Brian Oliván D
24 M. Valjent D
2 Joan Sastre D
29 Josep Gayá D
16 R. Battaglia M
6 Febas M
17 T. Kubo M
19 Lee Kang-In M
11 L. Junior M
25 M. Hoppe F
Bench (12)
12 I. Baba
18 Jaume Costa
9 Abdón Prats
10 Antonio Sánchez
7 Jordi Mboula
33 Pere García
28 Marc Carmona
23 A. Ndiaye
14 Dani Rodríguez
26 Fer Niño
8 Salva Sevilla
13 D. Greif

Coach: Luis García

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,24
U
6,36
B
12,33
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,59
U2,5
2,39
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Javier Alberola · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.