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Pro League
Referee: Alexandre Boucaut
Genk
T S S S S
4–0
Full-time
Antwerp
S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Antwerp
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
83%
67%
Points per game
2,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
2,0
1,3
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,3
This season — Pro League · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 65%
65%
65%
Points per game
2,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
62%
54%
Both score Ø 56%
62%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,4
Scored
2,2
1,4
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

58% Possession 42%
14 Shots 9
10 Shots on target 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
4 Corners 3
10 Free kicks against 19
0 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Genk 1. · Antwerp 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 26 17 6 3 +30 57
2 Antwerp 26 17 2 7 +12 53
3 Standard 26 15 6 5 +20 51
4 Club Brugge 26 15 5 6 +27 50
5 St Truiden 30 12 11 7 +11 47
6 Kortrijk 30 12 7 11 +2 43
7 Gent 26 13 3 10 +12 42
8 Charleroi 30 12 6 12 +0 42
9 Anderlecht 26 12 5 9 +5 41
10 Royal Excel Mouscron 30 11 7 12 +0 40
11 Waregem 30 8 9 13 -11 33
12 Eupen 30 10 2 18 -23 32
13 Cercle Brugge 30 7 7 16 -24 28
14 Beveren 30 5 12 13 -13 27
15 Oostende 30 6 9 15 -23 27
16 Lokeren 30 5 5 20 -25 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.