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Pro League
Referee: N Verboomen
Genk
U S S S U
3–4
Full-time
Oostende
T T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Oostende
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,8
4,3
Scored
2,2
1,5
Conceded
0,7
2,8
Goal diff per game
+1,5
-1,3
This season — Pro League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
1,0
0,0
Conceded
1,0
3,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

67% Possession 33%
25 Shots 16
9 Shots on target 7
6 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 7
9 Corners 5
1 Offside 1
2 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Genk 9. · Oostende 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Kortrijk 2 2 0 0 +4 6
2 Charleroi 1 1 0 0 +3 3
3 Mechelen 1 1 0 0 +1 3
4 St Truiden 1 1 0 0 +1 3
5 Cercle Brugge 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Club Brugge 1 0 1 0 +0 1
7 Eupen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
8 Standard 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Genk 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Waregem 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Antwerp 1 0 0 1 -1 0
13 Gent 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Beerschot VA 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Seraing 1 0 0 1 -2 0
16 Seraing United 1 0 0 1 -2 0
17 Oostende 1 0 0 1 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Genk Oostende
1–0 B. Heynen
M. Trésor
20′
30′
🟨 Jack Hendry
2–0 T. Bongonda
C. Dessers
30′
32′
M. Kvasina 2–1
B. Capon
39′
🔁 T. Matam
↦ B. Capon
Half-time 2–2
49′
M. Gueye 2–2
M. Kvasina
60′
🔁 T. Ambrose
↦ M. Gueye
3–2 T. Bongonda
M. Trésor
60′
62′
T. Ambrose 3–3
Kenny Rocha Santos
79′
F. Jäkel 3–4
Kenny Rocha Santos
K. Thorstvedt 🔁
↦ P. Hrošovský
80′
D. Muñoz 🔁
↦ A. Preciado
81′
86′
🔁 N. Bätzner
↦ I. Boonen
86′
🔁 A. Tanghe
↦ M. Kvasina
Full-time 3–4

Line-ups

Genk

4-2-3-1
26 M. Vandevoordt G
2 M. McKenzie D
77 A. Preciado D
5 G. Arteaga D
3 Mujaid Sadick D
17 P. Hrošovský M
8 B. Heynen M
11 M. Trésor M
10 T. Bongonda M
9 C. Dessers F
7 J. Ito M
Bench (7)
42 K. Thorstvedt
23 D. Muñoz
28 J. Paintsil
14 B. Toma
40 T. Leysen
20 C. Eiting
33 J. Lucumí

Coach: J. van den Brom

Oostende

3-5-2
28 G. Hubert G
27 B. Capon M
4 J. Hendry D
3 Z. Medley D
15 F. Jäkel D
6 M. D'Arpino M
11 I. Boonen M
10 Kenny Rocha Santos M
29 R. D'Haese M
21 M. Kvasina F
9 M. Gueye F
Bench (7)
7 T. Matam
68 T. Ambrose
34 N. Bätzner
33 A. Tanghe
22 J. Schelfhout
18 M. Berte
24 E. Patoulidis

Coach: A. Blessin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,57
U
4,19
B ✓
5,53
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,56
U2,5
2,39
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

N Verboomen · 117 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.