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Primeira Liga

Referee: Luis Godinho

Gil Vicente

U T T T T

2–0

Full-time

Rio Ave

U T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gil Vicente Rio Ave

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

67%

17%

Average goals

2,2

1,3

Scored

0,7

Conceded

1,5

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,0

This season — Primeira Liga · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 22%

14%

29%

Points per game

0,7

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 29%

43%

14%

Both score Ø 43%

57%

29%

Average goals

2,0

1,4

Scored

0,7

Conceded

1,3

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,6

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

31% Possession 69%

4 Shots 12

2 Shots on target 3

0 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 8

1 Offside 0

19 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Gil Vicente 17. · Rio Ave 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	8	7	1	0	+16	22
2	Porto	8	5	1	2	+9	16
3	Benfica	7	5	0	2	+8	15
4	Sp Braga	7	5	0	2	+5	15
5	Guimaraes	8	4	1	3	-1	13
6	Pacos Ferreira	7	3	2	2	+1	11
7	Nacional	7	2	4	1	+1	10
8	Rio Ave	7	2	4	1	+0	10
9	Santa Clara	8	3	1	4	-1	10
10	Famalicao	8	2	3	3	-5	9
11	Moreirense	7	2	2	3	-2	8
12	Tondela	8	2	2	4	-8	8
13	Belenenses	7	1	4	2	-2	7
14	Maritimo	7	2	1	4	-3	7
15	Boavista	7	1	3	3	-5	6
16	Farense	7	1	2	4	-3	5
17	Gil Vicente	7	1	2	4	-4	5
18	Portimonense	7	1	1	5	-6	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	4	3	1	0	+7	10
2	Porto	4	3	0	1	+4	9
3	Benfica	4	3	0	1	+4	9
4	Pacos Ferreira	4	3	0	1	+2	9
5	Moreirense	3	2	1	0	+3	7
6	Tondela	5	2	1	2	-3	7
7	Nacional	4	1	3	0	+1	6
8	Sp Braga	3	2	0	1	+1	6
9	Famalicao	4	1	2	1	-3	5
10	Farense	4	1	1	2	+0	4
11	Santa Clara	4	1	1	2	+0	4
12	Gil Vicente	3	1	1	1	+0	4
13	Maritimo	3	1	1	1	+0	4
14	Rio Ave	3	1	1	1	-1	4
15	Belenenses	4	0	3	1	-1	3
16	Boavista	3	1	0	2	-3	3
17	Guimaraes	4	1	0	3	-5	3
18	Portimonense	3	0	1	2	-3	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	4	4	0	0	+9	12
2	Guimaraes	4	3	1	0	+4	10
3	Sp Braga	4	3	0	1	+4	9
4	Porto	4	2	1	1	+5	7
5	Benfica	3	2	0	1	+4	6
6	Rio Ave	4	1	3	0	+1	6
7	Santa Clara	4	2	0	2	-1	6
8	Nacional	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Belenenses	3	1	1	1	-1	4
10	Famalicao	4	1	1	2	-2	4
11	Boavista	4	0	3	1	-2	3
12	Maritimo	4	1	0	3	-3	3
13	Portimonense	4	1	0	3	-3	3
14	Pacos Ferreira	3	0	2	1	-1	2
15	Farense	3	0	1	2	-3	1
16	Gil Vicente	4	0	1	3	-4	1
17	Tondela	3	0	1	2	-5	1
18	Moreirense	4	0	1	3	-5	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.