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Primeira Liga

Referee: Gustavo Correia

Rio Ave

U T U T T

2–0

Full-time

Estoril

S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rio Ave Estoril

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

17%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

1,3

1,7

Scored

0,3

0,7

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,3

This season — Primeira Liga · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 29%

26%

32%

Points per game

1,1

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 32%

37%

26%

Both score Ø 40%

42%

37%

Average goals

2,2

Scored

0,9

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%

10 Shots 16

3 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 5

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 9

2 Offside 3

26 Free kicks against 15

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Rio Ave 14. · Estoril 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	20	17	2	1	+39	53
2	Porto	20	15	3	2	+35	48
3	Sp Braga	20	15	1	4	+25	46
4	Sp Lisbon	20	12	2	6	+19	38
5	Guimaraes	20	10	3	7	-1	33
6	Casa Pia	19	9	3	7	-2	30
7	Arouca	20	8	6	6	-5	30
8	Chaves	20	6	8	6	-5	26
9	Vizela	20	7	4	9	+2	25
10	Boavista	19	7	4	8	-8	25
11	Portimonense	20	7	2	11	-10	23
12	Estoril	19	6	4	9	-6	22
13	Gil Vicente	20	6	4	10	-7	22
14	Rio Ave	19	5	6	8	-6	21
15	Famalicao	20	6	3	11	-10	21
16	Santa Clara	20	3	6	11	-12	15
17	Maritimo	20	3	4	13	-24	13
18	Pacos Ferreira	20	2	3	15	-24	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	10	9	1	0	+24	28
2	Porto	9	8	0	1	+25	24
3	Sp Lisbon	10	8	0	2	+20	24
4	Guimaraes	11	7	2	2	+5	23
5	Sp Braga	9	6	1	2	+13	19
6	Arouca	11	6	1	4	+1	19
7	Boavista	10	5	3	2	+0	18
8	Famalicao	10	5	1	4	+2	16
9	Vizela	10	4	2	4	+5	14
10	Casa Pia	10	4	2	4	+0	14
11	Portimonense	10	4	2	4	-1	14
12	Rio Ave	9	4	1	4	+1	13
13	Gil Vicente	10	3	3	4	-2	12
14	Chaves	9	2	5	2	+0	11
15	Estoril	9	3	2	4	-4	11
16	Santa Clara	10	2	4	4	-6	10
17	Maritimo	10	2	2	6	-5	8
18	Pacos Ferreira	11	1	2	8	-13	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Braga	11	9	0	2	+12	27
2	Benfica	10	8	1	1	+15	25
3	Porto	11	7	3	1	+10	24
4	Casa Pia	9	5	1	3	-2	16
5	Chaves	11	4	3	4	-5	15
6	Sp Lisbon	10	4	2	4	-1	14
7	Estoril	10	3	2	5	-2	11
8	Vizela	10	3	2	5	-3	11
9	Arouca	9	2	5	2	-6	11
10	Gil Vicente	10	3	1	6	-5	10
11	Guimaraes	9	3	1	5	-6	10
12	Portimonense	10	3	0	7	-9	9
13	Rio Ave	10	1	5	4	-7	8
14	Boavista	9	2	1	6	-8	7
15	Santa Clara	10	1	2	7	-6	5
16	Famalicao	10	1	2	7	-12	5
17	Maritimo	10	1	2	7	-19	5
18	Pacos Ferreira	9	1	1	7	-11	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.