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Primeira Liga
Referee: Manuel Oliveira
Arouca
T T U S T
1–1
Full-time
Santa Clara
S U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Arouca Santa Clara
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,2
1,5
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,2
This season — Primeira Liga · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 25%
21%
28%
Points per game
0,9
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
55%
59%
Both score Ø 55%
55%
55%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
0,9
1,1
Conceded
1,7
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

47% Possession 53%
17 Shots 9
7 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
7 Corners 7
2 Offside 2
17 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Arouca 15. · Santa Clara 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Porto 29 25 4 0 +53 79
2 Sp Lisbon 29 23 4 2 +41 73
3 Benfica 29 20 4 5 +44 64
4 Sp Braga 29 16 7 6 +19 55
5 Gil Vicente 29 12 10 7 +10 46
6 Guimaraes 29 11 6 12 +0 39
7 Pacos Ferreira 29 9 9 11 -7 36
8 Estoril 29 8 10 11 -4 34
9 Santa Clara 29 8 10 11 -14 34
10 Boavista 29 6 15 8 -7 33
11 Maritimo 29 8 9 12 -7 33
12 Portimonense 29 8 8 13 -7 32
13 Vizela 29 6 11 12 -16 29
14 Famalicao 29 6 10 13 -10 28
15 Arouca 29 6 8 15 -23 26
16 Tondela 29 7 4 18 -21 25
17 Moreirense 29 5 8 16 -20 23
18 Belenenses 29 4 9 16 -31 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

5. Dec -21 Santa Clara – Arouca 2–1

Match report

Arouca Santa Clara
44′
🟨 Allano
Half-time 0–0
André Silva 🟨
46′
1–0 André Silva
54′
Leandro Silva 🟨
59′
Antony 🔁
↦ Arsénio
64′
66′
🔁 H. Morita
↦ Anderson Carvalho
72′
K. Tagawa 1–1
73′
🔁 M. Mohebi
↦ K. Tagawa
74′
🔁 Rui Costa
↦ Lincoln
A. Ruiz 🔁
↦ Leandro Silva
75′
81′
🟨 Paulo Henrique
Bruno Marques 🔁
↦ A. Bukia
82′
Oday Dabagh 🔁
↦ Pité
82′
Alan Ruiz 🟨
83′
85′
🔁 Mansur
↦ Allano
85′
🔁 C. González
↦ P. Sagna
90′
🟨 Cristian Tassano
92′
🟨 Ricardinho
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Arouca

4-3-3
1 Victor Braga G
44 N. Galović D
72 Thales D
6 Quaresma D
13 João Basso D
5 David Simão M
21 Leandro Silva M
14 Pité M
8 Arsénio F
10 A. Bukia F
7 André Silva F
Bench (9)
27 Antony
22 A. Ruiz
99 Bruno Marques
15 Oday Dabagh
78 Tiago Araújo
12 E. Zubas
60 Marco Soares
31 Tiago Esgaio
53 A. Ba

Coach: Armando Evangelista

Santa Clara

4-2-3-1
99 Marco Pereira G
95 P. Sagna D
3 M. Villanueva D
16 Paulo Henrique D
4 K. Boateng D
8 Anderson Carvalho M
21 Nené M
10 Lincoln M
98 Ricardinho
7 Allano M
27 K. Tagawa F
Bench (9)
25 H. Morita
30 M. Mohebi
77 Rui Costa
6 Mansur
17 C. González
14 Rúben Oliveira
5 João Afonso
22 L. Gómez
1 Ricardo Fernandes

Coach: Mário Silva

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,44
U ✓
3,09
B
3,05
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,35
U2,5 ✓
1,59
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Manuel Oliveira · 149 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.