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Primeira Liga

Referee: Rui Costa

Benfica

T S S T S

1–1

Full-time

Moreirense

T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Benfica Moreirense

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

5,0

1,8

Scored

3,7

0,8

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+2,3

-0,2

This season — Primeira Liga · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 47%

76%

18%

Points per game

2,4

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

65%

53%

Both score Ø 59%

59%

Average goals

3,8

2,5

Scored

2,9

1,0

Conceded

0,9

1,5

Goal diff per game

+2,0

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

74% Possession 26%

16 Shots 9

5 Shots on target 2

0 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

9 Corners 1

2 Offside 0

13 Free kicks against 11

3 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Benfica 3. · Moreirense 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	17	15	2	0	+33	47
2	Sp Lisbon	17	14	2	1	+22	44
3	Benfica	17	13	1	3	+34	40
4	Sp Braga	17	9	5	3	+14	32
5	Gil Vicente	18	7	6	5	+6	27
6	Estoril	17	6	7	4	+4	25
7	Portimonense	17	7	3	7	+0	24
8	Guimaraes	17	6	5	6	+4	23
9	Maritimo	17	5	5	7	-5	20
10	Boavista	18	3	9	6	-8	18
11	Pacos Ferreira	17	4	5	8	-9	17
12	Tondela	17	5	1	11	-12	16
13	Vizela	17	3	7	7	-12	16
14	Santa Clara	17	4	4	9	-17	16
15	Moreirense	17	3	6	8	-9	15
16	Famalicao	17	3	6	8	-10	15
17	Arouca	17	3	5	9	-16	14
18	Belenenses	17	2	5	10	-19	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	9	8	1	0	+13	25
2	Porto	8	8	0	0	+18	24
3	Benfica	8	6	0	2	+15	18
4	Sp Braga	9	5	3	1	+10	18
5	Boavista	10	3	6	1	+3	15
6	Guimaraes	8	4	2	2	+6	14
7	Santa Clara	9	4	2	3	-6	14
8	Maritimo	8	3	3	2	+4	12
9	Tondela	9	4	0	5	-3	12
10	Gil Vicente	9	3	2	4	+1	11
11	Vizela	9	2	4	3	-3	10
12	Arouca	8	3	1	4	-8	10
13	Moreirense	8	2	3	3	-1	9
14	Pacos Ferreira	9	2	3	4	-3	9
15	Estoril	8	1	5	2	-1	8
16	Portimonense	9	2	2	5	-5	8
17	Belenenses	8	2	2	4	-9	8
18	Famalicao	8	1	3	4	-7	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	9	7	2	0	+15	23
2	Benfica	9	7	1	1	+19	22
3	Sp Lisbon	8	6	1	1	+9	19
4	Estoril	9	5	2	2	+5	17
5	Gil Vicente	9	4	4	1	+5	16
6	Portimonense	8	5	1	2	+5	16
7	Sp Braga	8	4	2	2	+4	14
8	Guimaraes	9	2	3	4	-2	9
9	Famalicao	9	2	3	4	-3	9
10	Pacos Ferreira	8	2	2	4	-6	8
11	Maritimo	9	2	2	5	-9	8
12	Moreirense	9	1	3	5	-8	6
13	Vizela	8	1	3	4	-9	6
14	Arouca	9	0	4	5	-8	4
15	Tondela	8	1	1	6	-9	4
16	Belenenses	9	0	3	6	-10	3
17	Boavista	8	0	3	5	-11	3
18	Santa Clara	8	0	2	6	-11	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.