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Primeira Liga
Referee: Hélder Malheiro
Santa Clara
T T S T T
1–1
Full-time
Benfica
T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Santa Clara Benfica
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,2
Scored
0,8
1,7
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,2
This season — Primeira Liga · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 59%
36%
82%
Points per game
1,2
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
45%
73%
Both score Ø 46%
36%
55%
Average goals
2,2
3,4
Scored
0,9
2,3
Conceded
1,3
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

30% Possession 70%
12 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 10
2 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Santa Clara 9. · Benfica 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sp Lisbon 12 10 2 0 +20 32
2 Porto 12 9 1 2 +16 28
3 Benfica 11 9 0 2 +13 27
4 Sp Braga 12 8 0 4 +9 24
5 Pacos Ferreira 12 5 4 3 +3 19
6 Guimaraes 11 6 1 4 +3 19
7 Maritimo 12 4 2 6 -2 14
8 Nacional 11 3 4 4 -2 13
9 Santa Clara 11 4 1 6 -4 13
10 Moreirense 12 3 4 5 -5 13
11 Gil Vicente 11 3 3 5 -3 12
12 Tondela 12 3 3 6 -10 12
13 Belenenses 11 2 5 4 -3 11
14 Famalicao 12 2 5 5 -7 11
15 Rio Ave 12 2 5 5 -9 11
16 Boavista 12 1 7 4 -8 10
17 Farense 11 2 3 6 -4 9
18 Portimonense 11 2 2 7 -7 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Santa Clara Benfica
Pierre Sagna 🟨
27′
29′
🟨 Ferro
33′
D. Núñez 0–1
L. Waldschmidt
Half-time 0–1
Carlos 🔁
↦ Jean Patric
51′
51′
🔁 Diogo Gonçalves
↦ Gilberto
1–1 Fábio Cardoso
Cryzan
60′
66′
🔁 Pizzi
↦ L. Waldschmidt
S. Moghanlou 🔁
↦ Cryzan
74′
Osama Rashid 🔁
↦ Lincoln
75′
Costinha 🔁
↦ Nené
75′
Fabio Cardoso 🟨
78′
84′
🔁 F. Ferreyra
↦ Éverton
84′
🔁 Chiquinho
↦ A. Taarabt
João Lucas 🔁
↦ Diogo Salomão
85′
Osama Rashid 🟨
90′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Santa Clara

4-2-3-1
99 Marco Pereira G
95 P. Sagna D
4 Fábio Cardoso D
5 João Afonso D
3 M. Villanueva D
27 Anderson Carvalho M
21 Nené M
10 Lincoln M
35 Diogo Salomão M
23 Cryzan F
26 Jean Patric M
Bench (9)
13 Carlos
70 S. Moghanlou
8 Osama Rashid
20 Costinha
15 João Lucas
17 Ukra
97 Rodolfo Cardoso
82 André Mesquita
33 Lucas Marques

Coach: Daniel Ramos

Benfica

4-4-2
99 O. Vlachodimos G
5 J. Vertonghen D
2 Gilberto D
3 Álex Grimaldo D
97 Ferro D
49 A. Taarabt M
27 Rafa Silva M
28 J. Weigl M
7 Éverton M
10 L. Waldschmidt F
9 D. Núñez F
Bench (9)
17 Diogo Gonçalves
21 Pizzi
37 F. Ferreyra
19 Chiquinho
78 Tiago Araújo
18 J. Todibo
71 Nuno Tavares
77 Helton Leite
22 A. Samaris

Coach: Jorge Jesus

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
6,53
U ✓
4,38
B
1,46
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,70
U2,5 ✓
2,12
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Hélder Malheiro · 143 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
31,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.