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Primeira Liga

Referee: Rui Costa

Sp Lisbon

S T S S T

1–0

Full-time

Maritimo

U S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Lisbon Maritimo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

3,0

2,0

Scored

2,0

0,8

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,3

This season — Primeira Liga · 18/18 matches

Win Ø 39%

56%

22%

Points per game

1,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

61%

39%

Both score Ø 62%

67%

56%

Average goals

2,9

2,3

Scored

1,7

0,9

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,6

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

53% Possession 47%

14 Shots 4

5 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

12 Corners 3

2 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sp Lisbon 4. · Maritimo 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	19	18	0	1	+39	54
2	Porto	18	14	2	2	+28	44
3	Famalicao	19	10	4	5	+7	34
4	Sp Lisbon	18	10	2	6	+10	32
5	Rio Ave	19	9	4	6	+5	31
6	Sp Braga	18	8	3	7	+6	27
7	Guimaraes	19	6	8	5	+6	26
8	Setubal	18	6	7	5	-3	25
9	Vitoria Setubal	18	6	7	5	-3	25
10	Gil Vicente	18	5	8	5	+0	23
11	Boavista	19	5	7	7	-4	22
12	Maritimo	18	4	9	5	-7	21
13	Santa Clara	19	5	6	8	-8	21
14	Tondela	20	5	6	9	-10	21
15	Moreirense	18	4	7	7	-4	19
16	Belenenses	19	5	3	11	-19	18
17	Pacos Ferreira	19	4	4	11	-14	16
18	Portimonense	19	2	9	8	-13	15
19	Aves	19	3	0	16	-16	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	10	9	0	1	+22	27
2	Porto	9	8	0	1	+21	24
3	Famalicao	10	6	2	2	+10	20
4	Gil Vicente	10	4	6	0	+7	18
5	Guimaraes	10	5	2	3	+9	17
6	Rio Ave	10	5	2	3	+5	17
7	Moreirense	8	4	2	2	+3	14
8	Sp Braga	8	4	2	2	+2	14
9	Setubal	9	3	5	1	+1	14
10	Vitoria Setubal	9	3	5	1	+1	14
11	Sp Lisbon	8	4	0	4	+1	12
12	Maritimo	9	2	5	2	-1	11
13	Pacos Ferreira	11	3	2	6	-4	11
14	Boavista	9	2	4	3	-2	10
15	Belenenses	10	3	1	6	-10	10
16	Aves	9	3	0	6	+0	9
17	Santa Clara	10	2	3	5	-6	9
18	Portimonense	8	1	4	3	-3	7
19	Tondela	10	1	3	6	-10	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	9	9	0	0	+17	27
2	Sp Lisbon	10	6	2	2	+9	20
3	Porto	9	6	2	1	+7	20
4	Tondela	10	4	3	3	+0	15
5	Rio Ave	9	4	2	3	+0	14
6	Famalicao	9	4	2	3	-3	14
7	Sp Braga	10	4	1	5	+4	13
8	Santa Clara	9	3	3	3	-2	12
9	Boavista	10	3	3	4	-2	12
10	Setubal	9	3	2	4	-4	11
11	Vitoria Setubal	9	3	2	4	-4	11
12	Maritimo	9	2	4	3	-6	10
13	Guimaraes	9	1	6	2	-3	9
14	Belenenses	9	2	2	5	-9	8
15	Portimonense	11	1	5	5	-10	8
16	Moreirense	10	0	5	5	-7	5
17	Gil Vicente	8	1	2	5	-7	5
18	Pacos Ferreira	8	1	2	5	-10	5
19	Aves	10	0	0	10	-16	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.