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Premier League
Referee: T Bramall
Sunderland
U S T S S
1–1
Full-time
Everton
T U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sunderland Everton
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,7
2,5
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
0,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Premier League · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 45%
56%
33%
Points per game
1,9
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
33%
44%
Both score Ø 39%
33%
44%
Average goals
2,0
2,3
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,22 xG 0,89
61% Possession 39%
17 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 2
7 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 1
2 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sunderland 7. · Everton 15.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Arsenal 10 8 1 1 +15 +11.7 25
2 Man City 10 6 1 3 +12 +8.2 19
3 Liverpool 10 6 0 4 +4 +4.9 18
4 Bournemouth 10 5 3 2 +3 -1.6 18
5 Tottenham 10 5 2 3 +9 -4.5 17
6 Chelsea 10 5 2 3 +7 +3.8 17
7 Sunderland 9 5 2 2 +4 -1.8 17
8 Man United 10 5 2 3 +1 +2.0 17
9 Crystal Palace 10 4 4 2 +5 +6.2 16
10 Brighton 10 4 3 3 +2 +4.0 15
11 Aston Villa 10 4 3 3 -1 -5.2 15
12 Brentford 10 4 1 5 -2 +1.2 13
13 Newcastle 10 3 3 4 -1 +3.7 12
14 Fulham 10 3 2 5 -2 -2.8 11
15 Everton 9 3 2 4 -3 -1.5 11
16 Leeds 10 3 2 5 -8 +0.1 11
17 Burnley 10 3 1 6 -7 -13.8 10
18 West Ham 10 2 1 7 -11 -6.3 7
19 Nott'm Forest 10 1 3 6 -12 -4.8 6
20 Wolves 10 0 2 8 -15 -3.5 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sunderland Everton
15′
I. Ndiaye 0–1
Noah Sadiki 🟨
17′
Nordi Mukiele 🟨
18′
32′
🟨 Thierno Barry
Half-time 1–1
1–1 G. Xhaka
E. Le Fee
46′
Trai Hume 🟨
54′
57′
🔁 Beto
↦ T. Barry
62′
🔁 D. McNeil
↦ I. Ndiaye
C. Talbi 🔁
↦ B. Traore
82′
B. Brobbey 🔁
↦ W. Isidor
83′
83′
🔁 C. Alcaraz
↦ K. Dewsbury-Hall
83′
🔁 T. Iroegbunam
↦ J. O'Brien
95′
🟨 Carlos Alcaraz
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Sunderland

3-4-3
22 R. Roefs G
20 N. Mukiele D
5 D. Ballard D
6 L. Geertruida D
32 T. Hume M
34 G. Xhaka M
27 N. Sadiki M
17 R. Mandava M
25 B. Traore F
18 W. Isidor F
28 E. Le Fee F
Bench (9)
1 A. Patterson
26 A. Masuaku
9 B. Brobbey
7 C. Talbi
11 C. Rigg
13 L. O'Nien
4 D. Neil
24 S. Adingra
12 E. Mayenda

Coach: Regis Le Bris

Everton

4-2-3-1
1 J. Pickford G
15 J. O'Brien D
6 J. Tarkowski D
5 M. Keane D
16 V. Mykolenko D
27 I. Gueye M
37 J. Garner M
10 I. Ndiaye M
22 K. Dewsbury-Hall M
18 J. Grealish M
11 T. Barry F
Bench (9)
12 M. Travers
9 Beto
24 C. Alcaraz
20 T. Dibling
39 A. Aznou
23 S. Coleman
7 D. McNeil
42 T. Iroegbunam
34 M. Rohl

Coach: Leighton Baines

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,74
U ✓
3,12
B
2,67
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,29
U2,5 ✓
1,59
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

T Bramall · 131 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.