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Süper Lig
Referee: B Şeker
Ad. Demirspor
U S T S T
3–1
Full-time
Ankaragücü
U S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ad. Demirspor Ankaragücü
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,2
This season — Süper Lig · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 38%
47%
29%
Points per game
1,8
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
59%
65%
Both score Ø 68%
59%
76%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
1,9
1,3
Conceded
1,1
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,9
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%
12 Shots 25
5 Shots on target 11
3 Blocked shots 7
10 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 13
4 Offside 5
8 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ad. Demirspor 4. · Ankaragücü 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Galatasaray 18 13 3 2 +23 42
2 Fenerbahce 17 11 2 4 +22 35
3 Buyuksehyr 17 10 4 3 +9 34
4 Ad. Demirspor 17 8 6 3 +15 30
5 Besiktas 16 8 5 3 +10 29
6 Trabzonspor 17 8 5 4 +0 29
7 Konyaspor 17 6 9 2 +7 27
8 Kayserispor 18 8 2 8 +3 26
9 Alanyaspor 18 6 6 6 -1 24
10 Karagumruk 17 5 5 7 +1 20
11 Giresunspor 18 5 5 8 -10 20
12 Gaziantep 17 4 7 6 -1 19
13 Ankaragücü 17 5 4 8 -4 19
14 Antalyaspor 17 5 3 9 -7 18
15 Kasimpasa 17 5 3 9 -11 18
16 Hatayspor 18 4 5 9 -18 17
17 Sivasspor 18 3 6 9 -9 15
18 Ümraniyespor 17 3 5 9 -9 14
19 İstanbulspor 17 3 3 11 -20 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ad. Demirspor Ankaragücü
21′
ℹ️ Emre Kılınç
VAR: Goal cancelled
Semih Güler 🟨
33′
Y. Sarı 🔁
↦ H. Onyekuru
42′
Half-time 0–0
A. Dursun 🔁
↦ D. Akintola
46′
1–0 Y. Sarı
B. Bjarnason
49′
Benjamin Stambouli 🟨
57′
61′
U. Radaković 1–1
G. Beridze
65′
🟨 Lamine Diack
2–1 E. Akbaba
B. Stambouli
66′
71′
🔁 G. Zahid
↦ E. Kılınç
71′
🔁 T. Chatzigiovanis
↦ L. Diack
3–1 G. İnler
A. Dursun
77′
B. Yıldız 🔁
↦ B. Bjarnason
79′
85′
🔁 Y. Güreler
↦ Marlon
85′
🔁 F. Macheda
↦ T. Ciğerci
85′
🔁 Pedrinho
↦ G. Beridze
E. Öztümer 🔁
↦ E. Akbaba
89′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Ad. Demirspor

3-4-3
25 E. Özbir G
15 J. Manev D
90 B. Stambouli D
4 S. Güler D
22 J. Svensson M
88 G. İnler M
17 P. N'Diaye M
11 D. Akintola M
20 E. Akbaba F
7 H. Onyekuru F
8 B. Bjarnason F
Bench (10)
26 Y. Sarı
3 A. Dursun
70 B. Yıldız
50 E. Öztümer
46 S. Nongoh
30 G. Töre
99 A. Öztürk
16 İ. Çokçalış
28 S. Kavrazlı
39 V. Karakuş

Coach: V. Montella

Ankaragücü

4-1-4-1
99 B. Güngördü G
24 K. Malcuit D
26 U. Radaković D
18 N. Mujakić D
3 Marlon D
14 L. Diack M
54 E. Kılınç M
48 T. Antalyalı M
30 T. Ciğerci M
21 G. Beridze M
22 A. Sowe F
Bench (10)
19 G. Zahid
7 T. Chatzigiovanis
17 Y. Güreler
11 F. Macheda
8 Pedrinho
32 G. Akkan
93 F. Ceylan
28 Pêpê Rodrigues
4 A. Çankaya
88 F. Üzüm

Coach: Ö. Erdoğan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,81
U
3,79
B
4,12
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,68
U2,5
2,16
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Şeker · 26 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,38 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.