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Eredivisie

Referee: Paulus van Boekel

Sparta Rotterdam

T T T T T

2–3

Full-time

Excelsior

T T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sparta Rotterdam Excelsior

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,0

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

3,7

2,7

Scored

0,5

1,0

Conceded

3,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

-2,7

-0,7

This season — Eredivisie · 18/18 matches

Win Ø 22%

11%

33%

Points per game

0,6

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

56%

61%

Both score Ø 53%

44%

61%

Average goals

2,8

2,7

Scored

0,7

1,2

Conceded

2,1

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,4

-0,3

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

57% Possession 43%

16 Shots 7

6 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

10 Corners 4

0 Offside 2

14 Free kicks against 18

5 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sparta Rotterdam 18. · Excelsior 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	18	15	1	2	+28	46
2	Ajax	18	13	2	3	+37	41
3	AZ Alkmaar	19	12	3	4	+15	39
4	Zwolle	19	10	6	3	+6	36
5	Feyenoord	17	9	5	3	+21	32
6	Den Haag	18	8	3	7	-1	27
7	Utrecht	16	7	4	5	-3	25
8	Vitesse	17	6	6	5	+7	24
9	Heerenveen	18	6	6	6	-3	24
10	VVV Venlo	19	5	8	6	-4	23
11	Heracles	18	6	4	8	-11	22
12	Excelsior	18	6	3	9	-6	21
13	Groningen	18	5	5	8	+0	20
14	Twente	19	4	4	11	-9	16
15	Willem II	18	4	4	10	-13	16
16	NAC Breda	19	4	4	11	-16	16
17	Roda	19	3	3	13	-23	12
18	Sparta Rotterdam	18	2	5	11	-25	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	9	9	0	0	+17	27
2	Ajax	9	7	0	2	+18	21
3	AZ Alkmaar	10	7	0	3	+9	21
4	Zwolle	9	6	2	1	+8	20
5	Heracles	9	6	2	1	+6	20
6	Groningen	10	4	4	2	+5	16
7	Feyenoord	9	4	3	2	+6	15
8	Den Haag	11	4	3	4	+1	15
9	Utrecht	7	3	3	1	+0	12
10	Twente	9	3	2	4	+0	11
11	NAC Breda	9	3	1	5	-10	10
12	Roda	9	2	3	4	-4	9
13	VVV Venlo	10	2	3	5	-5	9
14	Willem II	9	2	2	5	-2	8
15	Excelsior	10	2	2	6	-6	8
16	Heerenveen	8	2	2	4	-7	8
17	Sparta Rotterdam	9	2	2	5	-11	8
18	Vitesse	7	1	4	2	+0	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	9	6	2	1	+19	20
2	PSV Eindhoven	9	6	1	2	+11	19
3	AZ Alkmaar	9	5	3	1	+6	18
4	Feyenoord	8	5	2	1	+15	17
5	Vitesse	10	5	2	3	+7	17
6	Heerenveen	10	4	4	2	+4	16
7	Zwolle	10	4	4	2	-2	16
8	VVV Venlo	9	3	5	1	+1	14
9	Excelsior	8	4	1	3	+0	13
10	Utrecht	9	4	1	4	-3	13
11	Den Haag	7	4	0	3	-2	12
12	Willem II	9	2	2	5	-11	8
13	NAC Breda	10	1	3	6	-6	6
14	Twente	10	1	2	7	-9	5
15	Groningen	8	1	1	6	-5	4
16	Sparta Rotterdam	9	0	3	6	-14	3
17	Roda	10	1	0	9	-19	3
18	Heracles	9	0	2	7	-17	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.