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Eredivisie

Referee: Ed Peter Janssen

Heerenveen

S S S T T

1–1

Full-time

Nijmegen

U S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heerenveen Nijmegen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

67%

17%

Average goals

3,7

1,8

Scored

1,5

0,7

Conceded

2,2

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,5

This season — Eredivisie · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 39%

35%

43%

Points per game

1,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

65%

39%

Both score Ø 50%

65%

35%

Average goals

3,4

2,3

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

2,0

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,0

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

58% Possession 42%

19 Shots 7

5 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 3

1 Offside 2

0 Free kicks against 0

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Heerenveen 11. · Nijmegen 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	23	17	5	1	+36	56
2	Ajax	23	17	4	2	+38	55
3	AZ Alkmaar	24	12	4	8	+10	40
4	Vitesse	23	10	6	7	+21	36
5	Feyenoord	23	11	3	9	+9	36
6	Zwolle	22	10	5	7	+7	35
7	Heracles	21	10	5	6	+3	35
8	Nijmegen	23	10	5	8	+1	35
9	Groningen	23	9	7	7	-3	34
10	Den Haag	24	7	9	8	-1	30
11	Heerenveen	23	8	5	10	-11	29
12	Utrecht	20	7	5	8	+0	26
13	Twente	23	7	4	12	-18	25
14	Roda	23	5	9	9	-16	24
15	Willem II	23	4	10	9	-4	22
16	Excelsior	23	4	7	12	-18	19
17	De Graafschap	23	3	4	16	-23	13
18	Cambuur	23	2	7	14	-31	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	11	9	1	1	+24	28
2	PSV Eindhoven	10	8	2	0	+15	26
3	Nijmegen	13	8	2	3	+6	26
4	Groningen	12	7	3	2	+8	24
5	Vitesse	12	7	2	3	+17	23
6	AZ Alkmaar	13	7	2	4	+7	23
7	Heracles	11	7	2	2	+7	23
8	Feyenoord	11	7	1	3	+11	22
9	Zwolle	11	6	2	3	+3	20
10	Heerenveen	11	5	3	3	+1	18
11	Twente	10	5	1	4	-1	16
12	Utrecht	8	4	3	1	+4	15
13	Willem II	12	3	6	3	+3	15
14	Roda	13	3	6	4	-4	15
15	Den Haag	12	2	7	3	-2	13
16	Excelsior	12	2	3	7	-11	9
17	De Graafschap	11	2	2	7	-8	8
18	Cambuur	12	1	4	7	-17	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	13	9	3	1	+21	30
2	Ajax	12	8	3	1	+14	27
3	AZ Alkmaar	11	5	2	4	+3	17
4	Den Haag	12	5	2	5	+1	17
5	Zwolle	11	4	3	4	+4	15
6	Feyenoord	12	4	2	6	-2	14
7	Vitesse	11	3	4	4	+4	13
8	Heracles	10	3	3	4	-4	12
9	Utrecht	12	3	2	7	-4	11
10	Heerenveen	12	3	2	7	-12	11
11	Excelsior	11	2	4	5	-7	10
12	Groningen	11	2	4	5	-11	10
13	Nijmegen	10	2	3	5	-5	9
14	Roda	10	2	3	5	-12	9
15	Twente	13	2	3	8	-17	9
16	Willem II	11	1	4	6	-7	7
17	Cambuur	11	1	3	7	-14	6
18	De Graafschap	12	1	2	9	-15	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.