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Eredivisie

Referee: Allard Lindhout

Nijmegen

S T T S U

2–0

Full-time

Heerenveen

S U U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nijmegen Heerenveen

Last 6 — all competitions · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 30%

40%

20%

Points per game

1,4

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 30%

20%

40%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

1,4

2,8

Scored

0,4

1,4

Conceded

1,0

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,6

+0,0

This season — Eredivisie · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 30%

40%

20%

Points per game

1,4

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 30%

20%

40%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

1,4

2,8

Scored

0,4

1,4

Conceded

1,0

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,6

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

37% Possession 63%

17 Shots 11

7 Shots on target 6

2 Blocked shots 3

6 Goalkeeper saves 5

8 Corners 6

4 Offside 1

0 Free kicks against 0

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nijmegen 10. · Heerenveen 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	5	4	1	0	+12	13
2	Heracles	5	4	0	1	+9	12
3	Feyenoord	5	4	0	1	+4	12
4	PSV Eindhoven	5	3	2	0	+10	11
5	Zwolle	5	3	2	0	+7	11
6	Roda	5	3	1	1	+1	10
7	Utrecht	5	2	2	1	+2	8
8	Vitesse	5	2	1	2	+3	7
9	Groningen	5	2	1	2	+0	7
10	Nijmegen	5	2	1	2	-3	7
11	Heerenveen	5	1	3	1	+0	6
12	Den Haag	5	1	2	2	-2	5
13	AZ Alkmaar	5	1	2	2	-2	5
14	Excelsior	5	1	1	3	-3	4
15	Willem II	5	0	2	3	-5	2
16	Twente	5	0	2	3	-6	2
17	Cambuur	5	0	1	4	-16	1
18	De Graafschap	5	0	0	5	-11	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	3	3	0	0	+4	9
2	Zwolle	3	2	1	0	+4	7
3	Groningen	3	2	1	0	+4	7
4	Utrecht	3	2	1	0	+3	7
5	Roda	3	2	1	0	+3	7
6	Ajax	2	2	0	0	+7	6
7	Vitesse	2	2	0	0	+6	6
8	Heracles	2	2	0	0	+5	6
9	PSV Eindhoven	2	2	0	0	+4	6
10	Heerenveen	3	1	2	0	+2	5
11	Excelsior	2	1	1	0	+3	4
12	Nijmegen	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	Den Haag	3	0	2	1	-1	2
14	Willem II	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Twente	2	0	1	1	-3	1
16	AZ Alkmaar	3	0	1	2	-4	1
17	De Graafschap	2	0	0	2	-5	0
18	Cambuur	3	0	0	3	-13	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	3	2	1	0	+5	7
2	Heracles	3	2	0	1	+4	6
3	PSV Eindhoven	3	1	2	0	+6	5
4	Zwolle	2	1	1	0	+3	4
5	AZ Alkmaar	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Nijmegen	3	1	1	1	-2	4
7	Feyenoord	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Den Haag	2	1	0	1	-1	3
9	Roda	2	1	0	1	-2	3
10	Utrecht	2	0	1	1	-1	1
11	Heerenveen	2	0	1	1	-2	1
12	Cambuur	2	0	1	1	-3	1
13	Vitesse	3	0	1	2	-3	1
14	Twente	3	0	1	2	-3	1
15	Willem II	3	0	1	2	-4	1
16	Groningen	2	0	0	2	-4	0
17	De Graafschap	3	0	0	3	-6	0
18	Excelsior	3	0	0	3	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.