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Serie A

Referee: L Pairetto

Napoli

S T U S S

4–1

Full-time

Salernitana

T T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Napoli Salernitana

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

67%

Both score Ø 17%

17%

Average goals

1,3

3,2

Scored

0,8

0,3

Conceded

0,5

2,8

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-2,5

This season — Serie A · 22/20 matches

Win Ø 40%

64%

15%

Points per game

2,1

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

45%

60%

Both score Ø 36%

36%

35%

Average goals

2,5

3,0

Scored

1,8

0,7

Conceded

0,7

2,3

Goal diff per game

+1,1

-1,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

82% Possession 18%

26 Shots 1

14 Shots on target 1

8 Blocked shots 0

0 Goalkeeper saves 10

10 Corners 0

3 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 14

0 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Napoli 3. · Salernitana 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	22	16	5	1	+36	53
2	Milan	22	15	3	4	+22	48
3	Napoli	22	14	4	4	+24	46
4	Atalanta	22	12	7	3	+18	43
5	Juventus	22	12	5	5	+13	41
6	Fiorentina	22	11	3	8	+11	36
7	Lazio	23	10	6	7	+7	36
8	Roma	22	11	2	9	+8	35
9	Verona	23	9	6	8	+5	33
10	Torino	21	9	4	8	+9	31
11	Empoli	22	8	5	9	-8	29
12	Sassuolo	22	7	7	8	+1	28
13	Bologna	22	8	3	11	-8	27
14	Spezia	22	6	4	12	-19	22
15	Udinese	21	4	9	8	-8	21
16	Sampdoria	22	5	5	12	-11	20
17	Venezia	22	4	6	12	-20	18
18	Cagliari	23	3	8	12	-22	17
19	Genoa	23	1	10	12	-25	13
20	Salernitana	20	3	2	15	-33	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	11	9	2	0	+21	29
2	Torino	11	7	2	2	+13	23
3	Roma	12	7	2	3	+5	23
4	Fiorentina	10	7	1	2	+17	22
5	Lazio	11	6	4	1	+12	22
6	Napoli	11	7	1	3	+11	22
7	Milan	11	7	1	3	+9	22
8	Verona	12	6	2	4	+6	20
9	Juventus	11	6	2	3	+6	20
10	Bologna	11	5	1	5	+0	16
11	Atalanta	10	3	4	3	+3	13
12	Sassuolo	12	3	4	5	-4	13
13	Udinese	10	2	5	3	-5	11
14	Cagliari	12	2	5	5	-6	11
15	Empoli	11	3	1	7	-12	10
16	Spezia	10	2	3	5	-3	9
17	Venezia	11	2	3	6	-8	9
18	Sampdoria	12	2	3	7	-9	9
19	Genoa	11	0	5	6	-10	5
20	Salernitana	10	1	1	8	-19	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Atalanta	12	9	3	0	+15	30
2	Milan	11	8	2	1	+13	26
3	Inter	11	7	3	1	+15	24
4	Napoli	11	7	3	1	+13	24
5	Juventus	11	6	3	2	+7	21
6	Empoli	11	5	4	2	+4	19
7	Sassuolo	10	4	3	3	+5	15
8	Lazio	12	4	2	6	-5	14
9	Fiorentina	12	4	2	6	-6	14
10	Verona	11	3	4	4	-1	13
11	Spezia	12	4	1	7	-16	13
12	Roma	10	4	0	6	+3	12
13	Sampdoria	10	3	2	5	-2	11
14	Bologna	11	3	2	6	-8	11
15	Udinese	11	2	4	5	-3	10
16	Venezia	11	2	3	6	-12	9
17	Torino	10	2	2	6	-4	8
18	Genoa	12	1	5	6	-15	8
19	Salernitana	10	2	1	7	-14	7
20	Cagliari	11	1	3	7	-16	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.