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Süper Lig
Referee: H Meler
Kasimpasa
U S S S S
3–1
Full-time
Kayserispor
U S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kasimpasa Kayserispor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,0
1,8
Scored
2,0
1,3
Conceded
1,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,8
This season — Süper Lig · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 32%
27%
36%
Points per game
1,1
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
45%
45%
Both score Ø 55%
59%
50%
Average goals
2,6
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,4
Conceded
1,4
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

55% Possession 45%
16 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 3
3 Offside 2
16 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kasimpasa 16. · Kayserispor 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Trabzonspor 22 15 6 1 +23 51
2 Konyaspor 21 12 6 3 +17 42
3 Ad. Demirspor 23 10 7 6 +10 37
4 Fenerbahce 23 10 7 6 +8 37
5 Besiktas 23 10 6 7 +4 36
6 Hatayspor 23 11 3 9 -2 36
7 Alanyaspor 22 10 5 7 +6 35
8 Buyuksehyr 22 10 4 8 +8 34
9 Sivasspor 23 7 10 6 +6 31
10 Kayserispor 22 8 7 7 +1 31
11 Gaziantep 21 9 4 8 -1 31
12 Karagumruk 23 8 6 9 -7 30
13 Goztep 23 7 6 10 -3 27
14 Galatasaray 22 7 6 9 -4 27
15 Giresunspor 22 7 5 10 -1 26
16 Kasimpasa 22 6 6 10 -3 24
17 Antalyaspor 22 6 5 11 -11 23
18 Rizespor 23 6 4 13 -18 22
19 Altay 22 5 3 14 -13 18
20 Yeni Malatyaspor 22 4 4 14 -20 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kasimpasa Kayserispor
12′
M. Gavranović 0–1
M. Pektemek
0–2 Y. Subaşı
own goal
14′
1–2 U. Bozok
H. Hajradinović
36′
Ryan Donk 🟨
39′
45′
🟨 Gökhan Sazdağı
Half-time 1–2
46′
🔁 İ. Akdağ
↦ E. Başsan
46′
🔁 Miguel Cardoso
↦ G. Sazdağı
46′
🔁 Carlos Mané
↦ Y. Subaşı
2–2 A. Engin
U. Bozok
53′
56′
🔁 A. Bertolacci
↦ M. Pektemek
M. Fall 🔁
↦ A. Engin
68′
79′
🟨 Andrea Bertolacci
Mortadha Ben Ouanes ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
85′
87′
🔁 İ. Parlak
↦ M. Gavranović
Ertuğrul Taşkıran 🟨
88′
M. Yıldırım 🔁
↦ M. Ben Ouannes
89′
K. Varga 🔁
↦ U. Bozok
97′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Kasimpasa

4-1-4-1
1 E. Taşkıran G
4 R. Donk D
25 T. Břečka D
94 F. Hadërgjonaj D
18 E. Elmalı D
15 T. Serbest M
10 H. Hajradinović M
17 A. Engin M
12 M. Ben Ouannes M
34 D. Haspolat M
19 U. Bozok F
Bench (9)
70 M. Fall
26 M. Yıldırım
21 K. Varga
23 H. Tekin
20 S. Aytaç
80 H. Yeşilyurt
79 S. Yavrucu
27 T. Kemendi
22 E. Canpolat

Coach: Ü. Şengül

Kayserispor

4-4-2
33 S. Lung G
15 U. Demirok D
27 O. Bulut D
5 M. Hosseini D
32 Y. Subaşı D
17 E. Başsan M
11 G. Sazdağı M
3 J. Attamah M
61 A. Parmak M
9 M. Pektemek F
19 M. Gavranović F
Bench (10)
24 İ. Akdağ
7 Miguel Cardoso
20 Carlos Mané
91 A. Bertolacci
23 İ. Parlak
14 E. Demir
28 R. Civelek
10 O. Kemen
45 M. Çetin
25 B. Bayazit

Coach: H. Karaman

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,11
U
3,47
B
3,32
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,80
U2,5
2,00
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

H Meler · 115 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.