Eredivisie
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Ajax
Willem II
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 3–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Ajax
|
14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | +41 | 33 |
| 2 |
Feyenoord
|
14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | +19 | 32 |
| 3 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | +13 | 31 |
| 4 |
Utrecht
|
13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | +14 | 26 |
| 5 |
Cambuur
|
14 | 8 | 0 | 6 | -3 | 24 |
| 6 |
Twente
|
14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | +2 | 22 |
| 7 |
Go Ahead Eagles
|
14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | -5 | 20 |
| 8 |
Nijmegen
|
14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | -3 | 19 |
| 9 |
Vitesse
|
12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 19 |
| 10 |
Heerenveen
|
13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 18 |
| 11 |
Willem II
|
14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -7 | 18 |
| 12 |
Groningen
|
14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | -4 | 17 |
| 13 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | +3 | 16 |
| 14 |
Heracles
|
14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | -5 | 14 |
| 15 |
Waalwijk
|
14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | -8 | 12 |
| 16 |
Sparta Rotterdam
|
14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -10 | 10 |
| 17 |
For Sittard
|
14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | -18 | 9 |
| 18 |
Zwolle
|
14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | -19 | 5 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
R. Pasveer
G
D. Blind
D
N. Mazraoui
D
Lisandro Martínez
D
J. Timber
D
D. Klaassen
M
E. Álvarez
M
R. Gravenberch
M
D. Tadić
F
Antony
F
Coach: E. ten Hag
U. Jenssen
D
D. Köhn
D
N. Michelis
D
M. Köhlert
M
C. Nunnely
M
Coach: F. Grim
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Sparta Rotterdam
Ajax
Waalwijk
Ajax
Ajax
Go Ahead Eagles
Heracles
Ajax
Ajax
PSV Eindhoven
E van de Graaf · 83 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.