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Eredivisie
Referee: E van de Graaf
Ajax
S U U S S
5–0
Full-time
Willem II
U T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajax Willem II
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,3
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
0%
67%
Average goals
2,2
2,8
Scored
2,2
0,7
Conceded
0,0
2,2
Goal diff per game
+2,2
-1,5
This season — Eredivisie · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 54%
71%
36%
Points per game
2,4
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
50%
64%
Both score Ø 32%
7%
57%
Average goals
3,2
2,8
Scored
3,1
1,1
Conceded
0,1
1,6
Goal diff per game
+2,9
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

74% Possession 26%
21 Shots 3
9 Shots on target 0
3 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Corners 1
4 Offside 1
2 Free kicks against 8
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ajax 1. · Willem II 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 14 10 3 1 +41 33
2 Feyenoord 14 10 2 2 +19 32
3 PSV Eindhoven 14 10 1 3 +13 31
4 Utrecht 13 8 2 3 +14 26
5 Cambuur 14 8 0 6 -3 24
6 Twente 14 6 4 4 +2 22
7 Go Ahead Eagles 14 6 2 6 -5 20
8 Nijmegen 14 5 4 5 -3 19
9 Vitesse 12 6 1 5 -8 19
10 Heerenveen 13 5 3 5 -2 18
11 Willem II 14 5 3 6 -7 18
12 Groningen 14 4 5 5 -4 17
13 AZ Alkmaar 12 5 1 6 +3 16
14 Heracles 14 4 2 8 -5 14
15 Waalwijk 14 2 6 6 -8 12
16 Sparta Rotterdam 14 2 4 8 -10 10
17 For Sittard 14 2 3 9 -18 9
18 Zwolle 14 1 2 11 -19 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Line-ups

Ajax

4-3-3
32 R. Pasveer G
17 D. Blind D
12 N. Mazraoui D
21 Lisandro Martínez D
2 J. Timber D
6 D. Klaassen M
4 E. Álvarez M
8 R. Gravenberch M
10 D. Tadić F
22 S. Haller F
11 Antony F
Bench (12)
23 S. Berghuis
15 D. Rensch
3 P. Schuurs
9 Danilo
7 David Neres
16 J. Gorter
26 V. Jensen
25 K. Taylor
19 Z. Labyad
24 A. Onana
31 N. Tagliafico
30 M. Daramy

Coach: E. ten Hag

Willem II

4-2-3-1
21 T. Wellenreuther G
4 U. Jenssen D
13 L. Owusu D
27 D. Köhn D
25 N. Michelis D
23 G. Sağlam M
17 D. Saddiki M
20 G. Roemeratoe M
11 M. Köhlert M
7 C. Nunnely M
15 M. Svensson F
Bench (10)
14 E. Kabangu
28 V. Schippers
16 R. Meerveld
19 J. Yeboah
18 M. Nelom
24 C. van den Berg
10 A. Kampetsis
9 K. Wriedt
30 S. Tel
26 J. Brondeel

Coach: F. Grim

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,08
U
11,22
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,21
U2,5
4,17
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

E van de Graaf · 83 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.