Eredivisie
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Feyenoord
Vitesse
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Ajax
|
30 | 24 | 4 | 2 | +68 | 76 |
| 2 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | +35 | 64 |
| 3 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | +26 | 61 |
| 4 |
Vitesse
|
29 | 17 | 5 | 7 | +18 | 56 |
| 5 |
Feyenoord
|
27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | +29 | 52 |
| 6 |
Groningen
|
29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | +1 | 45 |
| 7 |
Utrecht
|
27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | +9 | 42 |
| 8 |
Heracles
|
30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | -10 | 39 |
| 9 |
Twente
|
29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | +2 | 37 |
| 10 |
Heerenveen
|
30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | -3 | 37 |
| 11 |
For Sittard
|
30 | 11 | 4 | 15 | -9 | 37 |
| 12 |
Sparta Rotterdam
|
29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | -4 | 36 |
| 13 |
Zwolle
|
30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | -6 | 35 |
| 14 |
Waalwijk
|
30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | -18 | 26 |
| 15 |
Willem II
|
30 | 6 | 7 | 17 | -29 | 25 |
| 16 |
FC Emmen
|
30 | 5 | 9 | 16 | -26 | 24 |
| 17 |
VVV Venlo
|
30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | -38 | 22 |
| 18 |
Den Haag
|
30 | 2 | 10 | 18 | -45 | 16 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Utrecht
Feyenoord
Feyenoord
For Sittard
Feyenoord
FC Emmen
PSV Eindhoven
Feyenoord
Feyenoord
VVV Venlo
D Higler · 133 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.