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Superligaen
Horsens
T U S T T
1–0
Full-time
Aalborg
T S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Horsens Aalborg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,3
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
2,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,3
This season — Superligaen · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 24%
12%
35%
Points per game
0,6
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
58%
54%
Both score Ø 58%
50%
65%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
1,8
1,4
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Horsens 12. · Aalborg 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Midtjylland 26 16 5 5 +22 53
2 Brondby 26 15 4 7 +16 49
3 Aarhus 26 11 9 6 +10 42
4 FC Copenhagen 26 12 6 8 +4 42
5 Nordsjaelland 26 9 9 8 +5 36
6 Aalborg 26 9 9 8 -4 36
7 Randers FC 26 9 6 11 +6 33
8 Sonderjyske 26 9 5 12 -3 32
9 Vejle 26 8 8 10 -8 32
10 Odense 26 7 9 10 -5 30
11 Lyngby 26 6 7 13 -17 25
12 Horsens 26 3 7 16 -26 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.