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Süper Lig
Referee: Ozgur Yankaya
Denizlispor
U T T S S
1–2
Full-time
Ankaragücü
T S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Denizlispor Ankaragücü
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
This season — Süper Lig · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 19%
23%
15%
Points per game
0,9
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
46%
38%
Both score Ø 46%
46%
46%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,1
Conceded
1,7
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

67% Possession 33%
12 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 4
3 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Denizlispor 17. · Ankaragücü 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Galatasaray 14 9 2 3 +15 29
2 Alanyaspor 15 8 3 4 +12 27
3 Gaziantep 14 7 6 1 +11 27
4 Fenerbahce 14 8 2 4 +7 26
5 Besiktas 13 8 1 4 +7 25
6 Karagumruk 14 5 6 3 +6 21
7 Hatayspor 13 6 3 4 -2 21
8 Yeni Malatyaspor 13 5 5 3 +3 20
9 Trabzonspor 15 5 5 5 -3 20
10 Goztep 15 4 7 4 +3 19
11 Konyaspor 13 5 3 5 +4 18
12 Rizespor 13 5 3 5 -2 18
13 Kasimpasa 14 5 3 6 -5 18
14 Sivasspor 13 4 5 4 +0 17
15 Antalyaspor 14 4 5 5 -3 17
16 Buyuksehyr 13 4 3 6 -3 15
17 Denizlispor 13 3 3 7 -9 12
18 Genclerbirligi 13 3 3 7 -10 12
19 Kayserispor 13 2 4 7 -9 10
20 Ankaragücü 13 2 3 8 -7 9
21 Erzurumspor 14 2 3 9 -15 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Denizlispor Ankaragücü
2′
🟨 Atakan Cankaya
21′
A. Çankaya 0–1
E. Çekiçi
Hugo Rodallega 🟨
37′
45′
D. Łukasik 0–2
S. Kitsiou
Half-time 0–2
M. Mešanović 🔁
↦ R. Murawski
46′
63′
🟨 Joseph Paintsil
R. Niyaz 🔁
↦ F. Varela
69′
Özer Özdemir 🟨
71′
M. Özkal 🔁
↦ Ö. Özdemir
72′
78′
🔁 A. Dioussé
↦ I. Voca
M. Dossevi 🔁
↦ M. Bakalorz
80′
1–2 R. Niyaz
M. Mešanović
80′
84′
🔁 E. Dikmen
↦ E. Çekiçi
84′
🔁 A. Turan
↦ J. Paintsil
90′
🟨 Jonathan Bolingi
92′
🔁 Ş. Çetin
↦ D. Łukasik
93′
🔁 T. Børven
↦ S. Lobzhanidze
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Denizlispor

4-2-3-1
1 H. Altıntaş G
22 M. Yumlu D
21 Z. Bergdich D
2 Tiago Lopes D
91 Fabiano D
76 Ö. Özdemir M
10 I. Aissati M
6 M. Bakalorz M
8 R. Murawski M
24 F. Varela M
7 H. Rodallega F
Bench (10)
11 M. Mešanović
20 R. Niyaz
3 M. Özkal
14 M. Dossevi
65 M. Sarıkuş
99 A. Sünger
88 A. Kalkan
9 H. Sacko
29 C. Pantilimon
94 M. Kıryolcu

Coach: Y. Koşukavak

Ankaragücü

4-2-3-1
25 Ricardo Friedrich G
8 Tiago Pinto D
70 S. Kitsiou D
50 Z. Šarlija D
35 D. Łukasik M
88 E. Çekiçi M
11 S. Lobzhanidze M
42 I. Voca M
6 A. Çankaya D
9 J. Bolingi F
28 J. Paintsil M
Bench (10)
14 A. Dioussé
4 E. Dikmen
89 A. Turan
18 Ş. Çetin
22 T. Børven
19 C. Karayel
21 B. Gürbüz
10 O. Çınar
17 E. Aygören
1 K. Çelikay

Coach: N. Erkmen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,20
U
3,18
B ✓
3,34
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,01
U2,5
1,79
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Ozgur Yankaya · 14 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.