Premier League
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Wolves
Tottenham
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Liverpool
|
15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | +17 | 32 |
| 2 |
Everton
|
15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | +7 | 29 |
| 3 |
Leicester
|
15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | +9 | 28 |
| 4 |
Man United
|
14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | +7 | 27 |
| 5 |
Man City
|
14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | +9 | 26 |
| 6 |
Aston Villa
|
13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | +14 | 25 |
| 7 |
Chelsea
|
15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | +13 | 25 |
| 8 |
Tottenham
|
14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | +11 | 25 |
| 9 |
Southampton
|
15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | +6 | 25 |
| 10 |
West Ham
|
15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | +2 | 22 |
| 11 |
Leeds
|
15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 20 |
| 12 |
Wolves
|
14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | -5 | 20 |
| 13 |
Newcastle
|
14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -7 | 18 |
| 14 |
Crystal Palace
|
15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | -9 | 18 |
| 15 |
Arsenal
|
15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | -4 | 17 |
| 16 |
Brighton
|
15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | -6 | 13 |
| 17 |
Burnley
|
14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -12 | 13 |
| 18 |
Fulham
|
15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | -10 | 11 |
| 19 |
West Brom
|
15 | 1 | 5 | 9 | -19 | 8 |
| 20 |
Sheffield United
|
15 | 0 | 2 | 13 | -18 | 2 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Nélson Semedo
D
João Moutinho
M
Adama Traoré
M
Pedro Neto
M
Fábio Silva
F
Coach: Nuno Espírito Santo
M. Doherty
M
B. Davies
D
D. Sánchez
D
P. Højbjerg
M
E. Dier
D
H. Winks
M
H. Kane
F
Coach: José Mourinho
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Burnley
Wolves
Wolves
Chelsea
Wolves
Aston Villa
Liverpool
Wolves
Arsenal
Wolves
P Tierney · 131 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.