Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Reggiana
Reggina
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Salernitana
|
14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | +8 | 28 |
| 2 |
Empoli
|
14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | +11 | 27 |
| 3 |
Cittadella
|
13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | +14 | 26 |
| 4 |
Spal
|
14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | +9 | 26 |
| 5 |
Frosinone
|
14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | +2 | 24 |
| 6 |
Monza
|
14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | +8 | 23 |
| 7 |
Venezia
|
14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | +6 | 23 |
| 8 |
Lecce
|
14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | +8 | 21 |
| 9 |
Chievo
|
13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | +5 | 20 |
| 10 |
Brescia
|
14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 18 |
| 11 |
Pisa
|
14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | -6 | 18 |
| 12 | Pordenone | 14 | 3 | 8 | 3 | +0 | 17 |
| 13 |
Vicenza
|
13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | -2 | 16 |
| 14 |
Cremonese
|
14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | -3 | 15 |
| 15 |
Reggiana
|
13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -7 | 15 |
| 16 |
Cosenza
|
14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | -1 | 13 |
| 17 |
Pescara
|
14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -11 | 12 |
| 18 |
Reggina
|
14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -9 | 11 |
| 19 |
Ascoli
|
14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | -14 | 6 |
| 20 |
Virtus Entella
|
14 | 0 | 5 | 9 | -20 | 5 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Empoli
Reggiana
Brescia
Reggiana
Reggiana
Frosinone
Cosenza
Reggiana
Reggiana
Monza
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.