Gamealyst.com

← Match Finder

Ligue 1

Referee: H Ben El Hadj

Lens

T S S U U

0–1

Full-time

Toulouse

T S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Lens Toulouse

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

67%

17%

Average goals

3,2

2,0

Scored

1,8

1,0

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ligue 1 · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 40%

40%

Points per game

1,6

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

27%

40%

Both score Ø 40%

40%

Average goals

2,2

2,3

Scored

1,3

1,1

Conceded

0,9

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,41 xG 2,03

66% Possession 34%

14 Shots 8

1 Shots on target 4

7 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

7 Corners 1

20 Free kicks against 12

5 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lens 7. · Toulouse 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Paris SG	16	12	4	0	+30	+26.5	40
2	Marseille	15	9	3	3	+14	+0.3	30
3	Monaco	16	9	3	4	+10	+16.8	30
4	Lille	16	7	7	2	+10	+6.8	28
5	Lyon	16	8	4	4	+8	+5.9	28
6	Nice	16	7	6	3	+10	+7.5	27
7	Lens	15	6	6	3	+5	+7.4	24
8	Auxerre	15	6	3	6	+0	-8.2	21
9	Toulouse	15	6	3	6	+0	+8.2	21
10	Reims	16	5	5	6	+0	-5.3	20
11	Brest	15	6	1	8	-3	-8.8	19
12	Rennes	16	5	2	9	-1	+0.7	17
13	Strasbourg	15	4	5	6	-2	-7.4	17
14	St Etienne	16	5	1	10	-20	-14.1	16
15	Nantes	16	3	6	7	-7	-5.9	15
16	Angers	15	3	4	8	-12	-6.7	13
17	Le Havre	15	4	0	11	-18	-11.0	12
18	Montpellier	16	2	3	11	-24	-12.6	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Paris SG	8	7	1	0	+18	+13.5	22
2	Nice	8	5	3	0	+12	+8.0	18
3	Auxerre	8	5	2	1	+7	+0.4	17
4	Monaco	9	5	2	2	+4	+11.1	17
5	Rennes	8	5	1	2	+11	+5.6	16
6	Brest	8	5	1	2	+8	+1.3	16
7	Lyon	8	5	1	2	+5	+4.5	16
8	Lille	8	4	3	1	+4	+1.5	15
9	St Etienne	8	5	0	3	+2	+1.7	15
10	Toulouse	8	4	2	2	+3	+6.5	14
11	Strasbourg	7	3	3	1	+3	-0.4	12
12	Lens	7	3	2	2	+1	+6.1	11
13	Marseille	7	2	3	2	-2	-0.5	9
14	Reims	8	2	3	3	-2	-2.3	9
15	Montpellier	8	2	3	3	-7	-1.5	9
16	Nantes	7	2	2	3	-1	+2.8	8
17	Le Havre	8	2	0	6	-14	-7.8	6
18	Angers	7	1	1	5	-9	-5.6	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Marseille	8	7	0	1	+16	+0.7	21
2	Paris SG	8	5	3	0	+12	+13.0	18
3	Lille	8	3	4	1	+6	+5.3	13
4	Monaco	7	4	1	2	+6	+5.7	13
5	Lens	8	3	4	1	+4	+1.4	13
6	Lyon	8	3	3	2	+3	+1.5	12
7	Reims	8	3	2	3	+2	-2.9	11
8	Nice	8	2	3	3	-2	-0.6	9
9	Angers	8	2	3	3	-3	-1.2	9
10	Toulouse	7	2	1	4	-3	+1.7	7
11	Nantes	9	1	4	4	-6	-8.6	7
12	Le Havre	7	2	0	5	-4	-3.2	6
13	Strasbourg	8	1	2	5	-5	-7.0	5
14	Auxerre	7	1	1	5	-7	-8.6	4
15	Brest	7	1	0	6	-11	-10.1	3
16	Rennes	8	0	1	7	-12	-4.9	1
17	St Etienne	8	0	1	7	-22	-15.8	1
18	Montpellier	8	0	0	8	-17	-11.1	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.