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Ligue 1

Referee: W Delajod

Lens

S T U S T

3–0

Full-time

Nice

U S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lens Nice

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

1,8

1,2

Scored

1,0

0,7

Conceded

0,8

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,2

This season — Ligue 1 · 30/30 matches

Win Ø 45%

40%

50%

Points per game

1,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

53%

47%

Both score Ø 47%

57%

37%

Average goals

2,8

2,1

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

1,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

43% Possession 57%

6 Shots 16

3 Shots on target 6

2 Blocked shots 5

6 Goalkeeper saves 0

1 Corners 7

2 Offside 0

8 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 4

1 Red cards 2

The table before the match Lens 10. · Nice 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	31	22	5	4	+41	71
2	Rennes	31	17	5	9	+36	56
3	Marseille	30	16	8	6	+20	56
4	Nice	30	15	7	8	+16	52
5	Strasbourg	30	14	9	7	+19	51
6	Monaco	31	14	8	9	+15	50
7	Lille	31	12	12	7	+3	48
8	Nantes	31	13	7	11	+6	46
9	Lyon	30	12	10	8	+4	46
10	Lens	30	12	8	10	+5	44
11	Montpellier	30	12	5	13	+2	41
12	Brest	31	10	9	12	-6	39
13	Reims	31	8	12	11	-1	36
14	Angers	31	8	9	14	-10	33
15	Troyes	31	8	8	15	-15	32
16	Lorient	31	7	10	14	-19	31
17	Clermont	31	7	7	17	-29	28
18	St Etienne	31	6	9	16	-28	27
19	Bordeaux	31	5	11	15	-30	26
20	Metz	31	4	11	16	-29	23

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	15	14	1	0	+31	43
2	Rennes	15	11	1	3	+29	34
3	Monaco	16	9	4	3	+17	31
4	Strasbourg	15	9	3	3	+16	30
5	Nantes	15	9	2	4	+10	29
6	Lyon	16	8	5	3	+8	29
7	Lens	15	7	5	3	+10	26
8	Nice	15	7	4	4	+4	25
9	Lille	15	6	7	2	+3	25
10	Montpellier	16	7	3	6	+5	24
11	Marseille	15	6	5	4	+7	23
12	Lorient	15	5	5	5	+1	20
13	Angers	16	6	2	8	-2	20
14	Brest	15	5	4	6	-1	19
15	Reims	15	4	6	5	+4	18
16	Troyes	15	4	6	5	+0	18
17	St Etienne	16	3	6	7	-11	15
18	Bordeaux	16	3	5	8	-7	14
19	Clermont	16	3	5	8	-11	14
20	Metz	15	1	6	8	-11	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Marseille	15	10	3	2	+13	33
2	Paris SG	16	8	4	4	+10	28
3	Nice	15	8	3	4	+12	27
4	Lille	16	6	5	5	+0	23
5	Rennes	16	6	4	6	+7	22
6	Strasbourg	15	5	6	4	+3	21
7	Brest	16	5	5	6	-5	20
8	Monaco	15	5	4	6	-2	19
9	Lens	15	5	3	7	-5	18
10	Reims	16	4	6	6	-5	18
11	Montpellier	14	5	2	7	-3	17
12	Nantes	16	4	5	7	-4	17
13	Lyon	14	4	5	5	-4	17
14	Troyes	16	4	2	10	-15	14
15	Clermont	15	4	2	9	-18	14
16	Metz	16	3	5	8	-18	14
17	Angers	15	2	7	6	-8	13
18	St Etienne	15	3	3	9	-17	12
19	Bordeaux	15	2	6	7	-23	12
20	Lorient	16	2	5	9	-20	11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.