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Eredivisie

Referee: A Lindhout

Zwolle

T S T T T

2–1

Full-time

AZ Alkmaar

S S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zwolle AZ Alkmaar

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,7

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

17%

83%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

1,7

3,3

Scored

0,5

2,2

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+1,0

This season — Eredivisie · 28/25 matches

Win Ø 39%

18%

60%

Points per game

0,7

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 51%

29%

72%

Both score Ø 54%

39%

68%

Average goals

2,3

3,2

Scored

0,7

2,0

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

41% Possession 59%

13 Shots 14

7 Shots on target 5

0 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 5

4 Corners 3

5 Offside 3

9 Free kicks against 10

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Zwolle 18. · AZ Alkmaar 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	29	23	3	3	+70	72
2	PSV Eindhoven	29	22	2	5	+39	68
3	Feyenoord	29	19	4	6	+39	61
4	Twente	29	17	7	5	+13	58
5	AZ Alkmaar	25	15	3	7	+18	48
6	Utrecht	27	11	8	8	+9	41
7	Vitesse	24	12	3	9	-7	39
8	Groningen	29	9	9	11	-6	36
9	Go Ahead Eagles	29	10	6	13	-8	36
10	Nijmegen	29	9	8	12	-11	35
11	Heerenveen	28	9	7	12	-8	34
12	Cambuur	29	10	3	16	-17	33
13	Heracles	29	8	6	15	-11	30
14	Waalwijk	29	6	10	13	-15	28
15	Willem II	29	6	5	18	-29	23
16	For Sittard	28	6	5	17	-34	23
17	Sparta Rotterdam	27	4	10	13	-19	22
18	Zwolle	28	5	5	18	-23	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	15	12	1	2	+46	37
2	PSV Eindhoven	15	12	0	3	+24	36
3	Feyenoord	14	10	2	2	+22	32
4	AZ Alkmaar	13	9	2	2	+15	29
5	Twente	14	8	5	1	+11	29
6	Utrecht	14	7	4	3	+11	25
7	Heracles	15	7	4	4	+3	25
8	Go Ahead Eagles	15	7	1	7	+3	22
9	Groningen	14	4	6	4	+0	18
10	Heerenveen	14	5	2	7	-3	17
11	Cambuur	14	5	1	8	-5	16
12	Vitesse	12	5	1	6	-8	16
13	Sparta Rotterdam	15	3	6	6	-7	15
14	Willem II	14	4	3	7	-8	15
15	Waalwijk	14	4	3	7	-10	15
16	For Sittard	13	4	2	7	-12	14
17	Nijmegen	14	2	5	7	-8	11
18	Zwolle	14	2	4	8	-7	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	14	11	2	1	+24	35
2	PSV Eindhoven	14	10	2	2	+15	32
3	Feyenoord	15	9	2	4	+17	29
4	Twente	15	9	2	4	+2	29
5	Nijmegen	15	7	3	5	-3	24
6	Vitesse	12	7	2	3	+1	23
7	AZ Alkmaar	12	6	1	5	+3	19
8	Groningen	15	5	3	7	-6	18
9	Heerenveen	14	4	5	5	-5	17
10	Cambuur	15	5	2	8	-12	17
11	Utrecht	13	4	4	5	-2	16
12	Go Ahead Eagles	14	3	5	6	-11	14
13	Waalwijk	15	2	7	6	-5	13
14	Zwolle	14	3	1	10	-16	10
15	For Sittard	15	2	3	10	-22	9
16	Willem II	15	2	2	11	-21	8
17	Sparta Rotterdam	12	1	4	7	-12	7
18	Heracles	14	1	2	11	-14	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.