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Ligue 1
Referee: J Brisard
Troyes
T S T T U
0–1
Full-time
Lyon
T U U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Troyes Lyon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
This season — Ligue 1 · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 27%
21%
32%
Points per game
0,9
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
42%
53%
Both score Ø 66%
58%
74%
Average goals
2,4
2,8
Scored
0,9
1,4
Conceded
1,5
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

38% Possession 62%
6 Shots 19
2 Shots on target 8
0 Blocked shots 4
7 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 7
4 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Troyes 17. · Lyon 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 21 15 5 1 +24 50
2 Nice 21 12 4 5 +16 40
3 Marseille 19 10 6 3 +12 36
4 Rennes 21 10 4 7 +21 34
5 Monaco 21 9 6 6 +10 33
6 Lens 21 9 6 6 +7 33
7 Strasbourg 20 9 5 6 +14 32
8 Montpellier 20 9 4 7 +7 31
9 Nantes 21 8 5 8 +1 29
10 Lille 19 7 7 5 +0 28
11 Lyon 19 6 8 5 +0 26
12 Angers 20 6 8 6 -1 26
13 Brest 21 6 7 8 -7 25
14 Reims 21 5 9 7 -1 24
15 Metz 21 4 7 10 -17 19
16 Clermont 20 4 6 10 -16 18
17 Troyes 19 4 5 10 -10 17
18 Lorient 20 3 8 9 -16 17
19 Bordeaux 21 3 8 10 -20 17
20 St Etienne 20 2 6 12 -24 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Troyes Lyon
33′
M. Dembélé 0–1
Half-time 0–1
Gerson Rodrigues 🟨
49′
J. Giraudon 🔁
↦ D. Chambost
64′
Jimmy Giraudon 🟨
65′
65′
🔁 X. Shaqiri
↦ H. Aouar
81′
🔁 M. Gusto
↦ M. Dembélé
85′
🟨 Malo Gusto
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Troyes

3-5-1-1
30 G. Gallon G
23 A. Rami D
2 E. Palmer-Brown D
17 Y. Salmier D
12 Abdu Conté M
24 X. Chavalerin M
5 T. Dingomé F
10 F. Tardieu M
14 D. Chambost M
20 R. Ripart M
11 G. Rodrigues F
Bench (8)
8 J. Giraudon
34 M. Camara
27 B. Dominguès
37 B. Diop
16 S. Rénot
36 A. Namri
19 O. El Hajjam
28 N. Chadli

Coach: B. Irles

Lyon

3-4-2-1
1 Anthony Lopes G
27 J. Boateng D
21 D. Da Silva D
14 L. Dubois M
12 Henrique M
4 C. Lukeba D
39 Bruno Guimarães M
8 H. Aouar F
10 Lucas Paquetá F
25 M. Caqueret M
9 M. Dembélé F
Bench (8)
29 X. Shaqiri
17 M. Gusto
30 J. Pollersbeck
19 H. Keita
18 R. Cherki
34 I. Lomami
33 B. Barcola
23 Thiago Mendes

Coach: P. Bosz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,90
U
4,01
B ✓
1,68
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,78
U2,5 ✓
2,05
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Brisard · 168 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.