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Ligue 1

Referee: Amaury Delerue

Monaco

S S T S S

4–0

Full-time

Lorient

U T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Monaco Lorient

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 92%

83%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,8

4,0

Scored

2,8

1,8

Conceded

1,0

2,2

Goal diff per game

+1,8

-0,3

This season — Ligue 1 · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 48%

70%

25%

Points per game

2,3

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 78%

85%

70%

Both score Ø 55%

55%

Average goals

4,1

3,1

Scored

3,0

1,2

Conceded

1,1

2,0

Goal diff per game

+2,0

-0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

49% Possession 51%

16 Shots 6

8 Shots on target 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 6

2 Offside 2

7 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Monaco 2. · Lorient 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Nice	21	13	7	1	+21	46
2	Monaco	20	14	3	3	+39	45
3	Paris SG	21	14	3	4	+26	45
4	Lyon	19	11	1	7	+14	34
5	Guingamp	21	8	7	6	+4	31
6	Marseille	20	8	6	6	+0	30
7	Rennes	21	8	5	8	-4	29
8	Bordeaux	21	7	8	6	-5	29
9	St Etienne	20	6	9	5	+2	27
10	Toulouse	21	7	5	9	-1	26
11	Nantes	21	7	4	10	-14	25
12	Nancy	20	6	6	8	-7	24
13	Montpellier	21	5	8	8	-5	23
14	Lille	21	6	5	10	-7	23
15	Metz	20	6	5	9	-16	23
16	Dijon	21	4	9	8	-3	21
17	Bastia	21	5	6	10	-7	21
18	Caen	20	6	3	11	-12	21
19	Angers	20	5	5	10	-9	20
20	Lorient	20	5	3	12	-16	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Nice	11	8	3	0	+16	27
2	Monaco	10	8	1	1	+24	25
3	Paris SG	10	7	3	0	+21	24
4	Rennes	11	7	2	2	+8	23
5	Marseille	10	6	3	1	+7	21
6	Guingamp	10	6	3	1	+6	21
7	Caen	10	6	2	2	+1	20
8	Montpellier	10	5	4	1	+10	19
9	Toulouse	10	6	1	3	+7	19
10	Lyon	9	6	0	3	+7	18
11	Bordeaux	11	5	3	3	-1	18
12	Dijon	11	4	5	2	+6	17
13	St Etienne	10	4	5	1	+5	17
14	Lille	11	5	2	4	+0	17
15	Nancy	10	5	1	4	+3	16
16	Lorient	10	5	1	4	-3	16
17	Bastia	11	3	5	3	+1	14
18	Angers	10	3	4	3	+0	13
19	Metz	9	3	3	3	-7	12
20	Nantes	11	3	3	5	-10	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	11	7	0	4	+5	21
2	Monaco	10	6	2	2	+15	20
3	Nice	10	5	4	1	+5	19
4	Lyon	10	5	1	4	+7	16
5	Nantes	10	4	1	5	-4	13
6	Bordeaux	10	2	5	3	-4	11
7	Metz	11	3	2	6	-9	11
8	Guingamp	11	2	4	5	-2	10
9	St Etienne	10	2	4	4	-3	10
10	Marseille	10	2	3	5	-7	9
11	Nancy	10	1	5	4	-10	8
12	Bastia	10	2	1	7	-8	7
13	Toulouse	11	1	4	6	-8	7
14	Angers	10	2	1	7	-9	7
15	Lille	10	1	3	6	-7	6
16	Rennes	10	1	3	6	-12	6
17	Dijon	10	0	4	6	-9	4
18	Montpellier	11	0	4	7	-15	4
19	Lorient	10	0	2	8	-13	2
20	Caen	10	0	1	9	-13	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.