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Ligue 1
Referee: F Schneider
Lorient
T S T T U
2–5
Full-time
Monaco
T T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lorient Monaco
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,2
This season — Ligue 1 · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 33%
18%
47%
Points per game
0,7
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
53%
76%
Both score Ø 53%
41%
65%
Average goals
2,8
3,1
Scored
1,0
1,6
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

40% Possession 60%
11 Shots 16
5 Shots on target 9
2 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 8
2 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lorient 18. · Monaco 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lyon 17 10 6 1 +20 36
2 Lille 17 10 6 1 +19 36
3 Paris SG 17 11 2 4 +29 35
4 Rennes 17 9 4 4 +7 31
5 Marseille 15 8 4 3 +7 28
6 Monaco 17 8 3 6 +3 27
7 Lens 16 8 3 5 +2 27
8 Montpellier 17 8 3 6 +1 27
9 Angers 17 8 3 6 -3 27
10 Metz 17 6 5 6 +2 23
11 Brest 17 7 2 8 -3 23
12 Nice 16 6 4 6 -1 22
13 Bordeaux 17 6 4 7 -2 22
14 St Etienne 17 4 6 7 -7 18
15 Reims 17 4 5 8 -4 17
16 Nantes 17 3 6 8 -12 15
17 Strasbourg 17 4 2 11 -10 14
18 Lorient 17 3 3 11 -14 12
19 Dijon 17 2 6 9 -14 12
20 Nimes 17 3 3 11 -20 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lorient Monaco
3′
🟨 Djibril Sidibé
6′
🟨 Gelson Martins
9′
A. Disasi 0–1
1–1 T. Moffi
31′
Armand Lauriente 🟨
34′
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 S. Diop
↦ W. Geubbels
46′
🔁 G. Maripán
↦ A. Disasi
Jonathan Delaplace 🟥
48′
T. Chalobah 🔁
↦ Q. Boisgard
61′
64′
🔁 A. Golovin
↦ Gelson Martins
64′
A. Golovin 1–2
D. Sidibé
66′
🟨 Sofiane Diop
2–2 A. Gravillon
67′
68′
K. Volland 2–3
G. Maripán
A. Grbić 🔁
↦ T. Moffi
73′
73′
🔁 S. Jovetić
↦ W. Ben Yedder
78′
S. Diop 2–4
K. Volland
S. Marveaux 🔁
↦ Y. Wissa
83′
J. Hergault 🔁
↦ L. Abergel
83′
E. Le Fée 🔁
↦ A. Laurienté
83′
83′
🔁 Caio Henrique
↦ R. Aguilar
89′
G. Maripán 2–5
Full-time 2–5

Line-ups

Lorient

4-2-3-1
30 P. Nardi G
21 J. Morel D
25 V. Le Goff D
2 A. Gravillon D
22 J. Delaplace D
23 T. Monconduit M
6 L. Abergel M
11 Q. Boisgard M
19 Y. Wissa M
28 A. Laurienté M
13 T. Moffi F
Bench (9)
8 T. Chalobah
27 A. Grbić
12 S. Marveaux
14 J. Hergault
10 E. Le Fée
29 P. Hamel
1 M. Dreyer
7 S. Diarra
15 J. Laporte

Coach: C. Pélissier

Monaco

4-4-2
30 V. Mannone G
29 D. Sidibé D
26 R. Aguilar D
20 A. Disasi D
32 B. Badiashile D
8 A. Tchouaméni M
22 Y. Fofana M
31 K. Volland F
9 W. Ben Yedder F
11 Gelson Martins M
13 W. Geubbels M
Bench (9)
37 S. Diop
3 G. Maripán
17 A. Golovin
10 S. Jovetić
12 Caio Henrique
38 E. Millot
21 S. Pavlović
1 R. Majecki
2 F. Ballo

Coach: N. Kovač

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,38
U
3,94
B ✓
1,76
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,74
U2,5
2,10
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Schneider · 47 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.