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Ligue 1
Referee: C Turpin
Monaco
U U T U S
2–1
Full-time
Nantes
S T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Monaco Nantes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,2
1,7
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,0
This season — Ligue 1 · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
2,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
1,5
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

57% Possession 43%
18 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
9 Corners 4
3 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Monaco 9. · Nantes 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rennes 3 2 1 0 +3 7
2 Lille 3 2 1 0 +2 7
3 St Etienne 2 2 0 0 +4 6
4 Nice 3 2 0 1 +1 6
5 Lens 3 2 0 1 +1 6
6 Angers 3 2 0 1 +0 6
7 Bordeaux 3 1 2 0 +2 5
8 Lyon 2 1 1 0 +3 4
9 Monaco 2 1 1 0 +1 4
10 Nantes 2 1 1 0 +1 4
11 Nimes 3 1 0 2 +1 3
12 Montpellier 2 1 0 1 +1 3
13 Lorient 3 1 0 2 -1 3
14 Brest 3 1 0 2 -3 3
15 Reims 3 0 1 2 -2 1
16 Metz 2 0 0 2 -2 0
17 Dijon 3 0 0 3 -6 0
18 Strasbourg 3 0 0 3 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Monaco Nantes
1–0 S. Diop
5′
Sofiane Diop 🟨
7′
9′
🟨 Abdoulaye Touré
Aurelien Tchouameni 🟨
11′
20′
ℹ️ Randal Kolo Muani
VAR: Goal cancelled
Half-time 1–0
61′
🔁 B. Mendy
↦ A. Touré
61′
L. Blas 1–1
D. Appiah
W. Geubbels 🔁
↦ Gelson Martins
62′
H. Onyekuru 🔁
↦ K. Volland
62′
2–1 W. Geubbels
H. Onyekuru
65′
Willem Geubbels 🟨
68′
73′
🔁 R. Emond
↦ K. Bamba
P. Pellegri 🔁
↦ W. Ben Yedder
78′
S. Jovetić 🔁
↦ Fàbregas
90′
90′
🔁 B. Ndilu
↦ L. Blas
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Monaco

4-3-3
1 R. Majecki G
26 R. Aguilar D
2 F. Ballo D
20 A. Disasi D
32 B. Badiashile D
4 Fàbregas M
8 A. Tchouaméni M
31 K. Volland F
9 W. Ben Yedder F
11 Gelson Martins F
37 S. Diop M
Bench (9)
13 W. Geubbels
7 H. Onyekuru
19 P. Pellegri
10 S. Jovetić
30 V. Mannone
41 G. Biancone
38 E. Millot
3 G. Maripán
6 J. Aholou

Coach: N. Kovač

Nantes

4-2-3-1
1 A. Lafont G
4 N. Pallois D
12 D. Appiah D
14 C. Traoré D
3 Andrei Girotto D
19 A. Touré M
32 K. Bamba M
5 Chirivella M
10 L. Blas M
27 M. Simon M
23 R. Kolo F
Bench (8)
29 B. Mendy
28 R. Emond
22 B. Ndilu
6 R. Pereira de Sa
21 J. Castelletto
18 S. Moutoussamy
30 D. Petrić
8 M. Abeid

Coach: C. Gourcuff

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,93
U
3,55
B
3,93
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,90
U2,5
1,91
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

C Turpin · 184 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.