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Serie A

Referee: Michael Fabbri

Verona

T T T T S

0–1

Full-time

Roma

U T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Verona Roma

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

83%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

3,5

1,8

Scored

1,3

0,7

Conceded

2,2

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,5

This season — Serie A · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 37%

18%

55%

Points per game

0,7

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

73%

36%

Both score Ø 43%

41%

45%

Average goals

3,0

2,2

Scored

1,0

1,5

Conceded

2,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

40% Possession 60%

9 Shots 17

1 Shots on target 8

4 Blocked shots 2

7 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 6

0 Offside 4

17 Free kicks against 7

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Verona 19. · Roma 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	22	18	3	1	+34	57
2	Juventus	22	18	2	2	+37	56
3	Lazio	22	14	4	4	+30	46
4	Inter	23	12	9	2	+20	45
5	Roma	22	12	5	5	+15	41
6	Sampdoria	23	11	5	7	+10	38
7	Milan	22	10	4	8	+0	34
8	Atalanta	22	9	6	7	+7	33
9	Torino	23	7	12	4	+4	33
10	Udinese	22	10	2	10	+4	32
11	Fiorentina	22	7	7	8	+3	28
12	Bologna	22	8	3	11	-6	27
13	Chievo	22	5	7	10	-18	22
14	Sassuolo	22	6	4	12	-20	22
15	Genoa	22	5	6	11	-8	21
16	Cagliari	22	6	3	13	-14	21
17	Crotone	23	5	5	13	-22	20
18	Spal	22	3	8	11	-17	17
19	Verona	22	4	4	14	-23	16
20	Benevento	22	2	1	19	-36	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	11	9	1	1	+19	28
2	Napoli	11	8	2	1	+18	26
3	Sampdoria	12	8	2	2	+16	26
4	Inter	12	7	4	1	+13	25
5	Roma	12	7	1	4	+6	22
6	Lazio	10	6	2	2	+17	20
7	Milan	11	6	2	3	+1	20
8	Atalanta	11	5	3	3	+7	18
9	Torino	11	4	5	2	+7	17
10	Udinese	11	5	1	5	+4	16
11	Fiorentina	11	4	4	3	+2	16
12	Chievo	11	3	4	4	-4	13
13	Bologna	11	3	3	5	-2	12
14	Crotone	11	3	3	5	-6	12
15	Spal	11	2	5	4	-5	11
16	Cagliari	11	3	1	7	-6	10
17	Sassuolo	11	2	3	6	-9	9
18	Genoa	11	2	2	7	-7	8
19	Benevento	11	2	1	8	-14	7
20	Verona	11	2	1	8	-14	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	11	10	1	0	+16	31
2	Juventus	11	9	1	1	+18	28
3	Lazio	12	8	2	2	+13	26
4	Inter	11	5	5	1	+7	20
5	Roma	10	5	4	1	+9	19
6	Udinese	11	5	1	5	+0	16
7	Torino	12	3	7	2	-3	16
8	Atalanta	11	4	3	4	+0	15
9	Bologna	11	5	0	6	-4	15
10	Milan	11	4	2	5	-1	14
11	Genoa	11	3	4	4	-1	13
12	Sassuolo	11	4	1	6	-11	13
13	Fiorentina	11	3	3	5	+1	12
14	Sampdoria	11	3	3	5	-6	12
15	Cagliari	11	3	2	6	-8	11
16	Verona	11	2	3	6	-9	9
17	Chievo	11	2	3	6	-14	9
18	Crotone	12	2	2	8	-16	8
19	Spal	11	1	3	7	-12	6
20	Benevento	11	0	0	11	-22	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.