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Serie A
Referee: Daniele Doveri
Cagliari
T T T S T
0–0
Full-time
Bologna
U U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cagliari Bologna
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
83%
0%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,0
1,5
Scored
0,8
0,7
Conceded
2,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-0,2
This season — Serie A · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 30%
27%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
61%
52%
Both score Ø 50%
48%
52%
Average goals
2,6
2,5
Scored
0,9
1,1
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

53% Possession 47%
13 Shots 6
2 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 1
2 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cagliari 15. · Bologna 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 33 27 4 2 +59 85
2 Napoli 33 25 6 2 +47 81
3 Roma 34 20 7 7 +28 67
4 Lazio 33 19 7 7 +36 64
5 Inter 33 17 12 4 +32 63
6 Milan 34 15 9 10 +6 54
7 Atalanta 33 14 10 9 +16 52
8 Fiorentina 34 14 9 11 +9 51
9 Sampdoria 33 15 6 12 +2 51
10 Torino 33 11 14 8 +8 47
11 Bologna 33 11 5 17 -7 38
12 Genoa 33 10 8 15 -7 38
13 Sassuolo 34 9 10 15 -28 37
14 Udinese 33 10 3 20 -12 33
15 Cagliari 33 9 5 19 -26 32
16 Chievo 33 7 10 16 -22 31
17 Spal 34 5 14 15 -25 29
18 Crotone 33 7 7 19 -28 28
19 Verona 33 7 4 22 -39 25
20 Benevento 34 5 2 27 -49 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cagliari Bologna
23′
🟨 Giancarlo González
25′
🟨 Lorenzo Crisetig
35′
🟨 Blerim Džemaili
Simone Padoin 🟨
38′
Half-time 0–0
61′
🔁 I. M'baye
↦ S. Romagnoli
63′
🟨 Sebastian De Maio
Han Kwang-Song 🔁
↦ M. Sau
65′
77′
🔁 Á. Nagy
↦ L. Crisetig
C. Lykogiannis 🔁
↦ A. Ioniţă
81′
Luca Cigarini 🟨
86′
86′
🟨 Ádám Nagy
Charalampos Lykogiannis 🟨
87′
87′
🔁 L. Krejčí
↦ A. Poli
F. Romagna 🔁
↦ F. Pisacane
91′
Full-time 0–0

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Daniele Doveri · 82 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.