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Serie A

Referee: Davide Massa

Bologna

S T S S U

1–7

Full-time

Napoli

U S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bologna Napoli

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,8

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

17%

100%

Average goals

1,8

4,3

Scored

1,2

2,7

Conceded

0,7

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+1,0

This season — Serie A · 21/22 matches

Win Ø 46%

33%

59%

Points per game

1,3

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 51%

33%

68%

Both score Ø 56%

43%

68%

Average goals

2,2

3,3

Scored

1,0

2,2

Conceded

1,2

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–4

47% Possession 53%

17 Shots 14

7 Shots on target 9

3 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 6

3 Corners 0

2 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 9

2 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 1

The table before the match Bologna 13. · Napoli 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	21	17	0	4	+28	51
2	Roma	22	15	2	5	+23	47
3	Napoli	22	13	6	3	+23	45
4	Inter	22	13	3	6	+14	42
5	Lazio	22	12	4	6	+10	40
6	Atalanta	22	12	3	7	+9	39
7	Fiorentina	22	10	7	5	+9	37
8	Milan	21	11	4	6	+6	37
9	Torino	22	8	7	7	+7	31
10	Udinese	22	8	4	10	-2	28
11	Chievo	22	8	4	10	-8	28
12	Sampdoria	22	7	6	9	-4	27
13	Bologna	21	7	6	8	-5	27
14	Cagliari	22	8	3	11	-14	27
15	Genoa	22	6	7	9	-5	25
16	Sassuolo	22	7	3	12	-6	24
17	Empoli	22	5	6	11	-17	21
18	Crotone	21	3	4	14	-17	13
19	Palermo	22	2	5	15	-24	11
20	Pescara	22	1	6	15	-27	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	11	11	0	0	+23	33
2	Roma	10	10	0	0	+21	30
3	Napoli	12	8	3	1	+14	27
4	Inter	11	8	2	1	+16	26
5	Lazio	12	8	1	3	+11	25
6	Milan	11	7	2	2	+6	23
7	Cagliari	11	7	2	2	+4	23
8	Torino	11	6	4	1	+11	22
9	Atalanta	10	7	0	3	+5	21
10	Fiorentina	11	5	6	0	+5	21
11	Sampdoria	11	6	3	2	+5	21
12	Genoa	11	4	5	2	+6	17
13	Bologna	10	5	2	3	+4	17
14	Udinese	12	5	2	5	+1	17
15	Sassuolo	11	5	1	5	-1	16
16	Chievo	11	4	3	4	-4	15
17	Empoli	11	4	2	5	-8	14
18	Crotone	10	3	2	5	-2	11
19	Pescara	11	0	4	7	-14	4
20	Palermo	10	0	1	9	-15	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	10	5	3	2	+9	18
2	Juventus	10	6	0	4	+5	18
3	Atalanta	12	5	3	4	+4	18
4	Roma	12	5	2	5	+2	17
5	Fiorentina	11	5	1	5	+4	16
6	Inter	11	5	1	5	-2	16
7	Lazio	10	4	3	3	-1	15
8	Milan	10	4	2	4	+0	14
9	Chievo	11	4	1	6	-4	13
10	Udinese	10	3	2	5	-3	11
11	Palermo	12	2	4	6	-9	10
12	Bologna	11	2	4	5	-9	10
13	Torino	11	2	3	6	-4	9
14	Sassuolo	11	2	2	7	-5	8
15	Genoa	11	2	2	7	-11	8
16	Empoli	11	1	4	6	-9	7
17	Sampdoria	11	1	3	7	-9	6
18	Pescara	11	1	2	8	-13	5
19	Cagliari	11	1	1	9	-18	4
20	Crotone	11	0	2	9	-15	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.